Home > Current Updates > Latest Bracket: A lot of sorting out to do …

Latest Bracket: A lot of sorting out to do …

It should be a race – or perhaps a train wreck – over the next couple of weeks.  Look at teams seeded 8-lower right in our latest bracket projection (2/23) and you’ll know why.  Some of their profiles look like swiss cheese.   That said, we’ve done our best to assess performance to date with remaining potential.  On the positive side, it makes this closing stretch even more exciting.  Can you believe some conference tournaments start next week?

Our newest NCAA bracket projection is now posted in Bracketology.

Potential is a big concern for a team like Maryland. At 17-9 and 6-6 in the ACC, the Terrapins are a classic bubble team.  Some very good wins – bolstered by the rally at home against North Carolina.  Then there’s the Morgan State loss and 1-5 record in true road games.  While just 3-7 vs  Top 50 RPI teams, the Terps are 8-8 against the Top 100.  And that’s why they slip in this projection.  With 2 of 4 on the road to close, it won’t be easy to keep a spot, however.  And both Duke and Wake Forest visit College Park. 

The last five IN are Penn State, UNLV, Maryland, Oklahoma State, Kansas State.  For KSU, a 7-5 Big 12 record and winning 8 of 9 are just enough.  That streak includes wins at Texas and at Texas A&M.  But the Wildcats can easily get passed.  Check out Bubble Banter for more news on all the bubble teams.

The first five OUT are: Texas A&M, Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, San Diego State, USC.  At this juncture, having at least a .500 league record is important.  Certainly exceptions can and have been made historically for teams below that mark.  But as a rule, it makes it much more difficult to earn an at-large bid.  Rightfully so.

Take a look.  Have a thought?  Send me a Rebound – Dave the Bracketguy.

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