Archive for January 25, 2011

Inside the Bracket: Importance of quality wins

January 25, 2011 Leave a comment

Welcome to Bracketville

Within our latest bracket projection – January 24 Bracketology – seeding remains very fluid in the middle and lower part of the bracket.  It’s not uncommon at this point in the season – as a lot of teams have remarkably similar profiles.  That’s why quality wins are an important resource used to identify and separate teams most worthy of at-large selection.   Many other tools such as road wins, strength of schedule, and “bad” losses are valuable as well.  For right now, let’s look at quality wins.  We credit for the RPI information.

Within the context of our current bracket, the following at-large teams have yet to win a game versus a Top 50 RPI opponent: 

  • Washington State (0-4)
  • Arizona (0-3)
  • Wichita State (0-3)
  • Kansas State (0-6)

That’s one reason why all four are 10 seeds or lower.  All of these teams have played Top 50 competition and have the scheduling resources to create opportunities.  To be in the bracket a month from now, they likely need to win one or more of these games and/or move (stay) at the top of their conference standings.  Even as weak as the Pac-10 is this season (again), it’s hard to image a BCS conference failing to place at least two teams in the Field of 68.  For now, that helps Arizona. Read more…

Categories: Current Updates, Team News