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Bubble Banter 2012: Connecticut among teams with work to do

When the Super Bowl ends on Sunday night, the sports world will turn its attention toward March Madness.  We’ll begin to think more seriously about No. 1 seeds, brackets, and oh yea, those teams on the bubble.  Must be time to debut Bubble Banter.

As it’s still more than a month from Selection Sunday, the bubble picture remains quite fluid.  If we could see into the future, the March 3rd edition of Bubble Banter will likely look much different than today’s version.  If there’s one thing we’ve learned over the years, several teams currently on solid ground will slip in the next four weeks.  There will also be teams which work their way into the at-large discussion.

February 3 Bubble Banter

First, a couple of housekeeping notes.  To keep the bubble reasonable, we’ve been generous with teams listed as Should Be In.  We’ve also been realistic about which teams we’ve listed on the bubble.  So if your team is missing, it’s not personal.  There just isn’t enough resume material to be a realistic at-large candidate at this point in time.  Take for example, Drexel, VCU, Old Dominion, and George Mason of the Colonial.  The highest RPI of that group belongs to Drexel (No. 79).  Here are the other numbers – VCU (91), George Mason (107), Old Dominion (125).  All four teams are 10-2 in CAA play.  Great league records, but none of the profiles includes a Top 50 RPI win.  Drexel has three sub-100 RPI losses, and the Dragons’ best win is VCU.  Could any of these teams pull an upset? Sure, but right now the CAA champion is closer to a 14 seed than an at-large bid.

Among BCS teams, defending champion Connecticut is a surprise guest on the bubble list.  The Huskies have lost four straight and 6 of 8 games – including losses to Rutgers and Tennessee.  While UConn would likely be in the Field of 68 today, their outlook is somewhat suspect.  Without a quick turnaround, the Huskies four-game slide could easily become seven.  That would most certainly put UConn in a very dangerous position.

Debate is always fun, and we’re about to move into high gear.  Enjoy a great weekend of hoops.  March is just around the corner.

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