Inside the Bracket: January 1 s-curve rankings
This year we’ll be including the full s-curve with our bracket updates. As time permits – and the tournament nears – I’ll try to update the list more frequently. Off site, the s-curve is updated daily. Below are two tables used to display the current s-curve – a tool used by the Selection Committee to seed teams into the bracket.
A couple of things to note:
1) Teams listed in ALL CAPS are projected as automatic qualifiers. We’re so early in the conference season this really doesn’t mean anything yet, but it provides an idea of how automatic qualifiers are place on the curve.
2) With the First Four set-up, there can be six teams on a given seed line. In this edition, one of those is the 12-seed line. That’s while you’ll notice two empty “boxes” after spots 49-50. Teams ranked 45-50 would be potential 12 seeds (if bracket placement works accordingly). Through games on December 31, the First Four participants would be Indiana State, Saint Louis, Marquette, and Georgia Tech. The same holds true for spots 63-38. In the First Four scenario, Norfolk State, Cal-Northridge, LIU-Brooklyn, and Prairie View would be matched with the winners sliding into a 16-seed line.
3) To make it easier to follow, I didn’t use an actual “S” shape on the table; rather the highest seed on each line is to the left. If this is more confusing I can update it later.
The following update is for games played through December 31, 2012. Our next update will be included with the first bracket on Monday, January 7.
|JANUARY 1 | S-CURVE RANKINGS | 1-68|
|1. DUKE||2. LOUISVLLE||3. MICHIGAN||4. KANSAS|
|5. Indiana||6. ARIZONA||7. Syracuse||8. Minnesota|
|9. MISSOURI||10. Florida||11. Cincinnati||12. Ohio State|
|13. Illinois||14. GONZAGA||15. Georgetown||16. CREIGHTON|
|17. SAN DIEGO ST||18. Michigan State||19. BUTLER||20. Oklahoma State|
|21. NC State||22. UNLV||23. Notre Dame||24. New Mexico|
|25. Wichita State||26. VCU||27. Colorado||28. Kansas State|
|29. Baylor||30. Kentucky||31. Temple||32. Wyoming|
|33. Pittsburgh||34. North Carolina||35. Maryland||36. Miami-FL|
|37. MEMPHIS||38. Oregon||39. UCLA||40. Boise State|
|41. Texas||42. Colorado State||43. Virginia||44. Tennessee|
|45. Indiana State||46. Saint Louis||47. Marquette||48. Georgia Tech|
|49. MURRAY ST||50. BUCKNELL|
|51. NO. DAKOTA ST||52. MID TENN ST||53. VALPARAISO||54. CANISIUS|
|55. GEORGE MASON||56. DAVIDSON||57. OHIO||58. HARVARD|
|59. S.F. AUSTIN||60. MERCER||61. UTAH STATE||62. STONY BROOK|
|63. GARNER-WEBB||64. WEBER STATE||65. NORFOLK ST||66. CAL-NORTHRIDGE|
|67. LIU-BROOKLYN||68. PRAIRIE VIEW|
This is where the FIRST OUT at-large teams begin. While Iowa (in this case) isn’t rated lower than Prairie View, automatic qualifiers have to be ranked within the Field of 68. That’s why I’ve compiled the s-curve this way. Other sites choose to compile the list differently. Either way is fine. To me, it’s just easier to see the clear break from which teams are IN and which are close but in the next tier. We monitor teams currently ranked below 96, but it makes a nice stopping point.
|S-CURVE RANKINGS | 69 – 96|
|69. Iowa||70. Illinois State||71. California||72. Stanford|
|73. Iowa State||74. Dayton||75. Wisconsin||76. Oregon State|
|77. Florida State||78. BYU||79. Arizona State||80. Virginia Tech|
|81. St. Joseph’s||82. Belmont||83. South Dakota St||84. Mississippi|
|85. St. Mary’s||86. Arkansas||87. Santa Clara||88. Alabama|
|89. Charlotte||90. Seton Hall||91. Texas AM||92. Northern Iowa|
|93. Xavier||94. Oklahoma||95. Louisiana Tech||96. Illinois-Chicago|
Hopefully, you enjoy this new addition to Bracketville. Thanks for you continued interest. Please share your thoughts. That’s a huge part of the fun as we work toward Selection Sunday.