Home > Current Updates > Bracket Update: Florida moves to the top line

Bracket Update: Florida moves to the top line

dave1With the Super Bowl behind us, it’s time to start focusing on March Madness.  Given the action we’ve witness the past couple of weeks, the upcoming NCAA Tournament should be full of surprises.

If you need any other evidence, check out the teams listed around the bubble in today’s bracket.  They’re moving around faster than the Seahawks’ defense at MetLife Stadium.  We have some very interesting resumes.  Like recent weather forecasts, they change quickly, and often.

Bracket Update

S-Curve

After 12 straight wins – and a loss by an injured Michigan State squad – the Florida Gators move to the top line.  Wichita State is another team pushing for region supremacy.  The aforementioned Spartans, along with Villanova and San Diego State round out the two-seed line today.   Following its thrilling overtime victory over Duke on Saturday, and Arizona’s loss at California, the Orange now sit atop the bracket as the No. 1 overall seed.  Arizona and Kansas remain as the other projected No. 1 seeds based on games played through Sunday, February 2.  Yes, the Jayhawks lost at Texas, but their resume is filled with 12 Top 100 wins, a No. 1 strength of schedule, and the top spot in the RPI. Kansas also leads arguably one of the best two conferences (Big 12) in the nation.

Memphis absorbed the biggest seeding drop.  It’s not so much the loss at SMU as much as the behind-the-scenes resume numbers.  The Tigers are a concerning 2-5 against the RPI Top 50 and they have just three Top 100 RPI victories.  Fortunately, opportunities for seed-building wins remain: Gonzaga, Connecticut, Louisville, Cincinnati, and SMU are still on the schedule.

As you look through the bracket, you may notice a few things that seem askew.  Remember, several new bracketing principles were put into play this year to help keep more teams on their true seed line.  Most notably, teams from the same conference can meet before regional finals – if they play each other less than three times (including conference tournaments) during the season.  Several such situations developed when creating the bracket today.  We may see these scenarios; we may not.

Enjoy a fun week of hoops.  We’re on the final push toward Selection Sunday.

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