Home > Current Updates > Bracket Bits: Final Four thoughts, predictions

Bracket Bits: Final Four thoughts, predictions

dave1Although not as a media member, I attended open practices on Final Four Friday in Indianapolis. Indy is a great host city.  As many have noted, everything surrounding Lucas Oil Stadium is close by; and considering the large crowds (over 25,000 in attendance, per the NCAA), local fans embrace the event.

Here are a few quick notes and takeaways:

  • Kentucky has a forest of trees.  When all four teams come out to practice – one after another – you notice certain things.  UK’s size is one of those things.  Duke’s Jahlil Okafor is mammoth, but as an overall team, the Blue Devils aren’t that big
  • Tom Izzo loves March Madness.  Not only is the Spartans’ head coach wildly successful this time of year, he seems to relish the experience.  Michigan State had the most energetic practice, with Izzo directing the fun while smiling and waving to the crowd.  He allowed his players to go through a slam dunk event in the final minutes, bringing the crowd to its feet when they finished.
  • Bo Ryan of Wisconsin also made it a fun affair; as two sets of Badgers squared off in a half-court shot contest to wind up UW’s session.  Each squad made at least five; so if Saturday’s semifinal comes down to a 50-foot heave, you’ve been forewarned.
  • Based on the above two notes, Michigan State and Wisconsin appeared to be the most “relaxed” teams at the open practices.
  • Duke ran some rather intense full-court drills and has obvious speed on the wings.  The Blue Devils will be one of the smaller teams on the floor, so you have to think they will try to speed up the game, score in transition, and create open space for shooters.
  • Kentucky kept its practice short.  Despite having the largest contingent of fans on Friday, the Wildcats only practiced for about 30 of their allotted 50 minutes, and a good five minutes or so was free-throw rotations.  It was a very business-like approach.  Maybe that’s what John Calipari believes is best for his team on the verge of history.  At 38-0, they are trying to become the first team since the 1976 Indiana Hoosiers to complete an undefeated season.
  • On an ironic note, unbeaten UNLV arrived in Indianapolis for the 1991 Final Four (at the former Hoosier Dome). That was the year Duke upset the Rebels in the national semifinals

Predictions:

Kentucky is the deepest and, perhaps, most talented team at the Final Four.  Like many others, I picked UK to win the title and won’t stray from that now.  Expect a great battle from Wisconsin.  If the Badgers rekindle their second-half shooting performance against Arizona, they can certainly advance.  But that’s a tough task.  Late in the game, UK will get a needed stop or two; they typically do.

Although Duke is favored, Michigan State is playing as well as anyone. They are defending well in the second half of games and Travis Trice is knocking down big shots.  The wildcard for me is Brandon Dawson; if he’s active and engaged, the Spartans can win.  The last time MSU played at Lucas Oil, they were knocked out in the semifinals by Butler, and Duke played for the National Championship.  On a hunch, this year, Sparty moves on to Monday’s title game.

Enjoy the Final Four.

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