Quick Takes: Potential impact of NC SOS
We can identify teams like SMU, South Carolina, and Virginia Tech as recent casualties of weak non-conference strength of schedule (NC SOS) numbers on Selection Sunday. The Selection Committee has repeatedly sent messages to teams who schedule heavy doses of non-conference games against the bottom third of the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI): stay clear of the bubble or risk being left out.
With that as a backdrop, here are six teams currently on the Bubble with either potential NC SOS trouble and/or a large number of non-conference games against the bottom end of Division 1. As part of the exercise, each of these team’s record minus those 200-plus NC RPI wins is noted in parenthesis …
- Texas Tech | NC SOS: 327 | 8 NC wins vs. 200+ RPI | (9-9)
- Marquette | NC SOS: 258 | 6 NC wins vs. 200+ RPI | (9-10)
- Georgia Tech | NC SOS: 244 | 5 NC wins vs. 200+ RPI | (9-10)
- Miami-FL | NC SOS: 260 | 6 NC wins vs. 200+ RPI | (10-8)
- Kansas State | NC SOS: 242 | 6 NC wins vs. 200+ RPI | (10-9)
- Indiana | NC SOS: 166 | 7 NC wins vs. 200+ RPI | (8-11)
Quick sidebars: Boston College was sitting at 200 in the RPI this morning (per Warren Nolan). For the purposes above, wins over BC were not factored into results; BC was a conference opponent for Georgia Tech and Miami. K-State’s game with BC was a neutral court victory. Using the same model, Marquette has played DePaul twice, winning both, but those are conference games. How the Committee would separate those from non-conference games is a bit unknown; it could go either way.
We have just under a month left until Selection Sunday. We’ll see how these teams fare down the stretch.