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Bracketology: Busy finish to wrap up 2022

December 31, 2022 Leave a comment

home-tournament-64-thumb.jpgIf you like college sports, it’s a great day to be a fan.  College football’s Final Four kicks off this afternoon, and college hoops features a plethora of great games ahead of the New Year.  It’s a busy finish to wrap up 2022.

Bracketology
Seed List

Connecticut, Purdue, Kansas and Arizona continue to lead their respective regions this morning.  There are some changes along the cutline, however.  Iowa, NC State and Texas Tech exit the Field of 68, making room for USC, Rutgers and LSU to vault into the First Four.  Providence, Wake Forest and Pittsburgh all take seed list jumps, moving close enough to see the turnstile.

A host of meaningful games awaits us on New Year’s Eve.  Have a safe and enjoyable celebration to ring in 2023.

Categories: Bracketology, S-Curve

QT: Iowa, Michigan and Kentucky slip again

December 30, 2022 Leave a comment

QuickTakesIt hasn’t exactly been a riveting holiday season for Iowa, Michigan or Kentucky.  Fresh off a shocking pre-Christmas home loss to Eastern Illinois, Iowa absorbed a lopsided drubbing at Nebraska on Thursday.  The Hawkeye team that routed Iowa State in early December is currently MIA.

Michigan lost for the fourth time in six games by dropping a home decision to Central Michigan (a Quad 4 loss), leaving the Wolverines in near desperation mode entering January. With a morning NET rating above 100 and only a victory over Pittsburgh as a pre-2023 accomplishment, there’s a lot of work to do in Ann Arbor.

Big Blue Nation is aghast these days.  Kentucky’s best win of the season remains aforementioned Michigan after losing a double-digit outcome at Missouri.  UK returns home to face Louisville on New Year’s Eve.  If the Wildcats somehow manage to lose to this year’s Cardinals, all you-know-what may literally break loose in the Commonwealth. Read more…

Bracketology: Connecticut, Purdue lead Holiday Field

December 26, 2022 Leave a comment

home-tournament-64-thumb.jpgConnecticut and Purdue unwrapped the top two gifts of Christmas and lead the Holiday Field edition of Bracketology.  While Purdue’s top-end wins are better, the Huskies are 7-0 vs. Quadrants 1 and 2, while the Boilermakers are 5-0.  That slight distinction, plus the Huskies’ current No. 1 NET rating, gives UConn the boost to be No. 1 overall.

Bracketology
Seed List

Conference play is about to start or resume.  That will begin the process of better allocating automatic qualifiers as we work our way toward March.  Several teams in the current bracket have yet to play a true road game; others have played just one.  Those numbers will begin to shift, and wins away from home (or lack thereof) will become an increasingly important resume component. Read more…

QT: Miami bolsters its resume, Miss State falls

December 21, 2022 Leave a comment

QuickTakesMiami improved to 12-1 Tuesday night with a home victory over Virginia.  The Hurricanes are 3-0 in the early ACC season with a 5-1 mark against Quadrants 1/2.  Interestingly, non-NET metrics (both results-based and predictive) tend to think more of the ‘Canes than the NET.  Miami’s lone loss was to a hot-starting Maryland team on a neutral floor in November.  After a home date with Vermont, six of the Hurricane’s next eight ACC games are on the road.

Meanwhile, Mississippi State fell from the unbeaten ranks, losing to Drake in Lincoln, NE at the Battle for the Vault.  MSU had some relatively close calls with Jackson State and Nicholls recently, so maybe the Bulldogs have simply been coasting too much. After Christmas, MSU hosts Alabama and travels to Tennessee.  Life is about to get real. Read more…

Bracketology: Connecticut grabs No. 1 overall seed

December 20, 2022 Leave a comment

home-tournament-64-thumb.jpgThey might not be Jim Calhoun’s Connecticut Huskies (yet), but Dan Hurley’s latest iteration of the group from Storrs owns the NCAA’s No. 1 NET rating and the No. 1 spot on today’s seed list.  Being the top seed is the East Region would be ideal for the Huskies, with a potential path from Albany, New York through Madison Square Garden.

Bracketology
Seed List

Joining Connecticut as No. 1 seeds: Purdue (South), Kansas (Midwest) and Arizona (West).  The Jayhawks are fresh off a route of Indiana and own five Quad 1 wins.  Purdue might have the best collection of upper-end victories.  Arizona is 10-1 following its win over Tennessee last weekend.

It’s way too early to talk about the bubble, but there are more than a handful of teams in the field today with rather light resumes or light (to poor) non-conference slates.  As conference play unfolds, we’ll gain a clearer picture about where these squads actually stand. Read more…

Categories: Bracketology, S-Curve