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Bracket Bits: Coaching Power, History, highlight Elite 8

March 28, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1And then there were eight.  Some quick thoughts about this weekend’s Elite 8 games:

Coaching Power – Sean Miller at Arizona is the young gun among a group of high-profile coaches in the Elite 8.  Think about this list … Mike Krzyzewski, Rick Pitino, Tom Izzo, Bo Ryan, John Calipari, Mark Few, Mike Brey, and Miller.  If you remove Few, Brey, and Miller, you have a who’s-who list of “elite” coaches – and that’s not to disparage Few’s dominant tenure at Gonzaga or the work that either Brey and Miller has done at Notre Dame or Arizona.  Consider these accomplishments:

  • Mike Krzyzewski – Four National Championships, 11 Final Four appearances, 31 NCAA tournament bids
  • Rick Pitino – Two National Championships, 7 Final Four appearances, 20 NCAA tournament bids
  • Tom Izzo – One National Championship, 6 Final Four appearances, 18 NCAA tournament bids (consecutive)
  • John Calipari – One National Championship, 5 Final Four appearances, 17 NCAA tournament bids
  • Bo Ryan – 1 Final Four appearance, 14 NCAA tournament bids … Note: Won 4 National Championships at Division III Wisconsin-Platteville

However you slice it, those are impressive resumes. We could see four of the five at the Final Four in Indianapolis; and Pitino and Izzo square off for the East Regional final. Read more…

Categories: Current Updates

Bracket Picks: Upsets early, chalk late as UK wins title

March 19, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1For traditionalists, March Madness begins today.

My picks for the 2015 NCAA tournament are posted below.  Of course, I went 1-3 while selecting First Four games in Dayton (the Flyers were my only winning pick, and they needed a late-game rally to beat Boise State).  In other words, take these picks and run the other direction.

Having watched a lot of college hoops this season, six teams stand out as the most elite: Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Virginia.  Working through the bracket, my champion was going to come from this group.  And I, like most others, settled on Kentucky; not because the Wildcats can’t be beat, rather because they have proven to be the best team.

Here we go – with some early upsets mixed in, including a pick with my head (Texas) and not my heart (Butler) … Read more…

Bracket Bits: Picks for the First Four

March 17, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1As somewhat an NCAA tournament traditionalist, there’s something grand about the early tip-times on Thursday: the midday games, the unveiling of March Madness.  But a few years in tow, the First Four has delivered its moments as well.  And once again, that’s where we start our journey on the Road to the Final Four.

For what it’s worth (not much), here are my picks for the First Four games.  I’ll share my choices for the 64-team field soon.  Let the Madness begin!

First Four picks

  • Manhattan over Hampton – As a reward, the Jaspers will have the honor of playing No. 1 seed Kentucky.
  • North Florida over Robert Morris – We’ve seen some upsets from Atlantic Sun teams before; this isn’t an upset, but the Ospreys will have a chance to take on Coach K and Company in Charlotte.
  • Dayton over Boise State – Why the “host” Flyers were the last at-large team in the Field is unclear.  But a home-court advantage is just that; UD moves on to battle Providence.
  • BYU over Mississippi – Although I had the Cougars as my “First Team Out” on Sunday night, that doesn’t mean they can’t win a game or two; they can really score the ball.  If they continue doing that, BYU will face Xavier.

If I’m 0-4 by Wednesday night, it’ll be predictable.  In recent years, it’s been easier to try and project what the Committee will do (UCLA excluded) than figure out what will happen once tournament play begins.  And that’s why we can’t wait for another round of Shining Moments.

Categories: Current Updates

2015 Bracket Projection Results

March 16, 2015 2 comments

dave1Although the Selection Committee tossed a bit of a curveball Sunday evening by including UCLA in its Field of 68, I’m pleased with the final results of my 2015 projected bracket.  Here are the numbers …

  • 66 of 68 teams | 34 of 36 at-large selected correctly
  • 44 teams placed on the correct seed line
  • 17 teams within one of the actual seed line
  • 61 total teams either on or within one of actual seed line
  • Bracket Matrix score: 347 –  topped 339 score in 2014

After much debate between Temple and BYU for the final spot on Sunday, I stayed with Temple based on its double-digit win over Kansas and slightly better overall record against the Top 100.  But I have no problem with BYU’s choice; it was a coin flip, and the Cougars certainly had advantages based on other metrics.  Although UCLA was considered, and finished among my First Five OUT, I eliminated the Bruins from final consideration by Saturday night. Read more…

Bracketology: Kentucky leads field toward Indianapolis

March 15, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1

Time to unveil the Madness.  One thing we know for sure: Kentucky will lead the 68-team field on its Road to the Final Four in Indianapolis.

Final 2015 Projected Bracket

This year’s bubble has been, well, quite interesting.  And on the other end of the spectrum, we’ve had an intense race for No. 1 seeds.  Let’s hope the tournament is as exciting as the season.  It generally lives up to expectations, even with a high ceiling.

Down to the wire, nothing was finalized until late this afternoon, with Wisconsin battling for a No. 1 seed in Chicago and Connecticut trying to steal one last bid.  Ultimately, the Huskies came up a bit short and will not defend their NCAA title.

As for history, Kentucky begins its final quest for a perfect season.  The Wildcats will certainly be the favorite as action begins Tuesday in Dayton.  Enjoy the Madness!

Bracketology: Selection Sunday morning update

March 15, 2015 1 comment

dave1Here’s your Selection Sunday morning update:

Bracket Seed List

Wisconsin moves into the final No. 1 seed position in the West Region.  The Badgers may need to win the B10 title today to hold it; it’s likely the Selection Committee is building at least two or three brackets today.  Beyond the late Big Ten final, Connecticut can still acquire a bid by winning the American Conference title.  That would force the final at-large team “IN” right now, to be bumped out.  The biggest concern for Virginia is the health of Justin Anderson.  He doesn’t appear to be 100-percent, and that could prompt the Committee to reward Wisconsin with the final No. 1 seed.  It’s also possible that UVA takes Duke’s spot as the regular-season ACC champ.  But it’s hard to argue against the Blue Devils’ road wins at Virginia and at Wisconsin.

As for the bubble, the final seven to nine spots are somewhat of a pick’em.  I’ll be going through them again once or twice today; and making a final plan for what happens if Connecticut wins.  Television won’t allow earlier ending times for games, and the Committee will be under the gun today.  The teams that appear most vulnerable among the final at-large teams: Texas, Colorado State, Boise State, Temple and BYU – along with Indiana, Ole Miss, and LSU, if your so inclined- or even Georgia or Davidson.  You get the picture.

We’ll have a final bracket posted later today.  It’s Selection Sunday.  Enjoy the Madness.

Categories: Current Updates

Bracketology: Wisconsin in prime position to grab a No. 1 seed

March 14, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1With both Virginia and Duke losing Friday night at the ACC tournament, the final two No. 1 seeds are very much up for debate.  Wisconsin fans are smiling this morning because winning the Big Ten tournament puts them in prime position to move up.  Although still the top two-seed right now, Badger fans will also like the fact that they’ve moved East and away from Kentucky’s slot in the Midwest.  Syracuse is closer than Houston, that’s why East over South.

Bracket update

Seed List update

The Selection Committee may have to make a decision about the health of Virginia’s Justin Anderson.  While still a great team, UVA isn’t quite the same with him not a full strength.  Injuries can have a potential impact on final seeding.  If the Committee ends up making a choice between Duke and Virginia for a No. 1 seed slot, do they reward the Cavaliers for their regular season ACC title?  Or do they reward Duke for posting two of the biggest road wins this season – at Wisconsin and at Virginia.  Duke and UVA only played once.

As of this morning, Duke has the most wins (9) of the trio (UVA/Wisconsin) against NCAA-bound teams.  For that reason, plus the most Top 25 RPI wins among the group (7) – Virginia has five; Wisconsin three – Duke sits at No. 3 on the Seed List.  By tonight or tomorrow, we’ll see if Wisconsin or Arizona make a final push.

We’ll also be watching the bubble as a couple of potential bid thieves remain.  On that note, Colorado State’s J.J. Avila didn’t play in last night’s loss to San Diego State.  Another injury situation to monitor.

Categories: Current Updates
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