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Off-season Update: Who’s staying, who’s going?

April 8, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Congratulations to the Villanova Wildcats, winners of the 2018 National Championship.  After a wild ride – both during the season and during the tournament – the best overall team arguably won.  Villanova was consistently good from start to finish.

Now, the off-season arrives, and with it, a handful of questions.  While bracket projects are always fun, I’ve found that mid-April updates tend to be futile.  Until we know who is staying, who is going, who is transferring, who will be eligible, who will have new coaches, and where the final high school athletes will land, there are simply too many moving parts.   Let’s start with two of those … Read more…

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Quick Takes and Picks: Region by Region

March 15, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015When the ball tips at Noon today, we’ll begin another wild, wacky, and predictably unpredictable journey to the Final Four.  Until then, we scour the Field of 68, looking for a key upset, a team we think can make an unexpected run, a big name we think we’ll lose early.

If we’ve learned anything over the years, the Madness of March cannot be predicted, regardless of algorithms, statistical metrics, and/or game simulations.  So, with that in mind, rather than offer up an individual selection of picks per game – which will be helpful to no one  – here are a few thoughts (and picks) for each Region, including my takes regarding potential dark horses and upsets (use at your own peril): Read more…

Bracketology: Davidson goes Dancing

March 11, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015In what’s been a wild, unpredictable ride of a college basketball season, it’s fitting that Davidson brought a little extra mayhem to the party on Selection Sunday.  By beating Rhode Island in a thrilling Atlantic 10 championship game, Davidson punched its Dance ticket and burst the bubble of another hopeful.  Here’s how it the pieces fell together …

Bracketology  |  Seed List

Final seed adjustments were made for Kentucky and Houston; along with the last additions to the bracket.  Enjoy the Selection Show and the wonderful Madness of March.

Bracketology: Virginia reigns over Field of 68

March 11, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015While plenty of questions remain for a handful of teams on the bubble, this much we know: Virginia will be the overall No. 1 seed when the 2018 NCAA tournament bracket is revealed tonight.  The Cavaliers completed a remarkable season Saturday night by beating North Carolina in the ACC title game.  That appears to leave the No. 1 line as it was yesterday – Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, and Xavier.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

The underlying story today is Davidson, which plays Rhode Island in the Atlantic 10 championship.  If the Wildcats pull off an upset, one unlucky team will be bounced from the Field as Davidson would arrive as an automatic qualifier.

Other potential variables in play today (for seeding) include results in the SEC tournament (Tennessee vs. Kentucky) and the American (Cincinnati vs. Houston).  The Committee could build alternate brackets or decide each team’s body of work is basically complete.

However it works out, we’ve reached another Selection Sunday.  Here’s to an incredible journey through the Madness of March.

Bubble Talk: A lot at stake in conference tourneys

March 3, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015As another Championship Week arrives, we wrap up Bubble Talk with this nugget: some 30 teams have work to do before Selection Sunday.  The amount of work for those teams, varies, obviously, but the sheer volume indicates there’s a lot at stake this weekend and at conference tournaments across the country.

Bubble Talk

It’s also that time of year when we start keeping tabs on potential bid thieves – teams that can snatch an unexpected bid and shrink the available at-large pool.  It’s go-time, folks.  Madness has arrived.

Bracket Bits: Bubble brewing in the Big East

March 1, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015It wasn’t a particularly good night for the Big East.  Yes, the league’s top two teams won – Xavier bested Providence at home; Villanova survived at Seton Hall.  But those victories – while good for XU’s and Nova’s No. 1 seed hopes – also impacted the resumes of the Friars and Pirates.  Meanwhile, in New York, Butler lost in overtime to St. John’s – meaning the Bulldogs have lost to both Georgetown (home) and St. John’s (road) in their past four games.  All is not well, as they say.

Here’s a quick peek at the aforementioned Big East trio … Read more…

Bracketology: Madness as March arrives

February 28, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Madness prevailed on Tuesday night, as odd results engulfed college hoops.  March starts tomorrow, you say?  Okay, maybe that explains it.  If so, buckle up.  The next twelve days could get bumpy.

Bracketology    |     Seed List

The No. 1 seed line remains stable.  Other than that?  Seed lines are up for grabs, especially in the middle of the bracket.  Along the bubble, teams have a lot on the line between now and Selection Sunday.

Quick note … a couple of teams had their true seed line altered to fit bracketing principles.  Here’s the latest …