Bracketology: So many bubble questions

March 9, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015So many bubble questions.  Where do we start?

Long waits are underway for teams like Louisville, Syracuse, Marquette, Oklahoma State, Arizona State, Baylor, and Notre Dame.  So too, now, for Middle Tennessee which exited the Conference USA tournament after an overtime loss to Southern Miss in the quarterfinals.  Thus, the Blue Raiders add themselves to what was already an intriguing group of quality at-large candidates.

Bracketology    |    Seed List

Depending on what happens today in the SEC and Pac-12 tourneys, in particular, we have about 12 teams in play for four spots.  That it’s the first year for the NCAA’s new Quadrant system only adds seasoning to the pot.  Will the Committee reward the overall excellence of Middle Tennessee who has multiple Quadrant 1 and Quadrant 2 wins – even if those wins aren’t power conference names?  How will the Committee handle the RPI situation of a team like Oklahoma State?  And will that same RPI effect benefit a team like Louisville?  Depending on your take, you can make legitimate cases for and/or against any of the 12.

As with the Committee, it’s time to dig beneath the surface of the bubble contenders during the next 48 hours. Come Sunday, our vantage point may change.

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Bracketology: Big day for Bubble teams

March 8, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015It’s a big day for bubble teams.  Consider these questions: Can Louisville beat Virginia?  Can Marquette beat Villanova?  Can Oklahoma State beat Kansas (for a third time)?  Can Notre Dame beat Duke?  Can Texas beat Texas Tech?  Can Alabama beat Texas AM?  Can Kansas State beat TCU?  These are just a few of the many games to ponder on what could end up being the most crucial day between now and selection weekend. We didn’t even mention Butler and Providence, both of whom could benefit from an opening-round Big East tournament win.

Bracketology     |     Seed List

How will the Selection Committee handle a resume like Oklahoma State’s?  The answer could well depend on the age-old RPI question.  And what about a team like Arizona State – or Oklahoma for that matter – who started out like a whirlwind and finished with very little much air in their sails?

The cutline will likely change, perhaps multiple times, between now and Saturday.  Nothing is locked in place.  Another busy (and likely short) night ahead.

Categories: Current Updates

Bracketology: Virginia holds No. 1 overall seed

March 5, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Welcome to Championship Week!

Whether it’s a seed line position or a position in the final Field of 68, there’s a lot on the line in the next six days.  If there’s one confident bet it’s this: Virginia will be the No. 1 overall seed come Sunday night.  Villanova and Xavier also look like good wagers, although there are scenarios in which only one of them ends up being a No. 1 seed.  Kansas retains its No. 1 slot out West, with Duke very much in the mix (No. 5 on the seed list).  How Kansas, Duke, Villanova, and Xavier fare in their conference tournaments may well determine how the final one-line looks this weekend.  We can say the same for the two-line with teams like Cincinnati, Auburn, Tennessee, and North Carolina (as examples).

Bracketology   |    Seed List

As for the bubble, let’s just say its highly unsettled.  Multiple teams have an opportunity to play their way in or out come Sunday morning.  Frequent updates this week as teams punch their tickets to the 2018 NCAA tournament and push for a spot in the bracket.  Enjoy.

Bubble Talk: A lot at stake in conference tourneys

March 3, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015As another Championship Week arrives, we wrap up Bubble Talk with this nugget: some 30 teams have work to do before Selection Sunday.  The amount of work for those teams, varies, obviously, but the sheer volume indicates there’s a lot at stake this weekend and at conference tournaments across the country.

Bubble Talk

It’s also that time of year when we start keeping tabs on potential bid thieves – teams that can snatch an unexpected bid and shrink the available at-large pool.  It’s go-time, folks.  Madness has arrived.

Bracketology: Mayhem arrives early in Louisville

March 2, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015For all of its magical moments, March can be agonizingly brutal. Just ask the Louisville Cardinals, who suffered a devastating loss to Virginia Thursday night following what can only be described as an unimaginable turn of events in the game’s final seconds.  It was March at its most maddening.

Bracketology    |    Seed List

And yet, the Cardinals season is far from over.  They still have a trip to NC State this weekend and the ACC tournament next week.  Can they recover?  That’s a question only the Cardinals can answer.

Elsewhere, it’s an equally big weekend for a handful of other bubble teams vying for those final coveted spots in the Field of 68.

 

Bracket Bits: Bubble brewing in the Big East

March 1, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015It wasn’t a particularly good night for the Big East.  Yes, the league’s top two teams won – Xavier bested Providence at home; Villanova survived at Seton Hall.  But those victories – while good for XU’s and Nova’s No. 1 seed hopes – also impacted the resumes of the Friars and Pirates.  Meanwhile, in New York, Butler lost in overtime to St. John’s – meaning the Bulldogs have lost to both Georgetown (home) and St. John’s (road) in their past four games.  All is not well, as they say.

Here’s a quick peek at the aforementioned Big East trio … Read more…

Bracketology: Madness as March arrives

February 28, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Madness prevailed on Tuesday night, as odd results engulfed college hoops.  March starts tomorrow, you say?  Okay, maybe that explains it.  If so, buckle up.  The next twelve days could get bumpy.

Bracketology    |     Seed List

The No. 1 seed line remains stable.  Other than that?  Seed lines are up for grabs, especially in the middle of the bracket.  Along the bubble, teams have a lot on the line between now and Selection Sunday.

Quick note … a couple of teams had their true seed line altered to fit bracketing principles.  Here’s the latest …