Bracketology: Zion’s impact for Duke

March 15, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Zion Williamson returned to Duke’s lineup Thursday night and put on quite a show with the Selection Committee watching in New York.  If the Blue Devils beat North Carolina in the ACC semifinals, they will likely be a No. 1 seed on Sunday night.

Bracketville   |   Seed List

Other teams in play for the top line?  That would be your aforementioned Tar Heels, who could all but wrap up a No. 1 seed themselves by ousting the Blue Devils a third time.  We also have Kentucky, Tennessee and LSU from the SEC and Michigan State from the Big 10.

Hefty debates continue along the cutline.  There are a couple of major conference bid thieves still alive (West Virginia, Nebraska).  Xavier is surging in the Big East.  And favorites in the Mid American, Mountain West, and Atlantic 10 continue play today.

Let’s see how the next 24 hours play out.

Advertisements

Bracketology: Battle for No. 1 Seeds

March 14, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015The Battle for No. 1 Seeds revs up today as three candidates take the floor in the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament.  Virginia, North Carolina and Duke begin their post-season treks with eyes on the East and South Regions, in particular.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Tomorrow, SEC candidates Kentucky, Tennessee and LSU hit the court in Nashville.  As do Big Ten contenders Michigan State and Michigan in Chicago.

It’s also a busy day along the bubble.  The next 48 hours are critical for a list of teams too long to mention.  Action also continues in the Mid-American Conference, where bubble teams will be rooting for Buffalo to win the league’s automatic bid.

Bracketology: Saint Mary’s crashes the Dance

March 13, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015And so it begins …

Saint Mary’s upset Gonzaga in the West Coast Conference final Tuesday night, crashing into the Dance and leaving a yet unknown bubble team in its wake.  We could be in for a wild few days.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Bubble action revs up today as power conference tournaments advance.  Nowhere is that more true than in the Big East, ACC, and Big 12.  Tomorrow, additional bubble teams take the court in the Big Ten and SEC.  Stay tuned.

Bracket Bits: Mid-week bubble games worth tracking

March 12, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015It will be a decisive week for several teams along the bubble.  For starters, we have a variety of power conference teams trying to maneuver their way through league tournaments.  We also have some quality mid-major programs with viable profiles who are waiting and watching as events unfold.

With that in mind, here’s a quick peek at some mid-week bubble games that could have significant bracket ramifications come Sunday night …

WEDNESDAY
Clemson vs. NC State (ACC) … Whether both of these ACC bubble teams can make the final bracket remains to be seen.  But this has the look and feel of a potential elimination game.  It likely depends on how the Selection Committee uses its newly minted NET ratings for selection and whether or not the Committee’s prior emphasizes on a team’s non-conference strength of schedule remains part of the current equation.  For what it’s worth, each team’s SOS and NC-SOS are still noted on the NCAA’s official team sheets.

Read more…

Bracketology: Carolina, Kentucky move up

March 11, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015We begin a new week with two new No. 1 seeds … North Carolina and Kentucky.  The Tar Heels arrive after completing a season sweep of Duke.  The Wildcats arrive after beating Florida and having Tennessee fall at Auburn.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

The Blue Devils and Volunteers are next on the Seed List and could move back up with strong tourney showings.  Keep an eye, too, on Michigan State.  The Spartans beat Michigan a second time and winning the Big Ten tournament would put them in the conversation for a one seed.

Along the bubble, a few early-round tournament games might well end up being de-facto elimination games, especially in the ACC, Big East, and Big 10.  The cutline is a very unsettled landscape and it’s likely to change several times between now and Sunday.

Then we have teams like Belmont and Furman, both of whom must sit, wait, and watch.  It’s going to be a long week.

Bracketology: Let the Madness begin

March 8, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Championship Week begins tomorrow.  Let the Madness begin!

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Truly, expect some Madness – from the top of the bracket to the cutline.  Consider what’s at stake in these two games alone … Duke-North Carolina and Michigan-Michigan State. All four are in the running for No. 1 seeds next weekend.  Then there’s a trio of SEC teams – Tennessee, Kentucky, LSU – who are also in the mix.

As for the cutline, it could look a whole lot different by Sunday night.  In all, 12-16 teams are jockeying for position to either be above the First Four or find a way to steal a ticket to Dayton.  Those same teams will be closely watching what happens in the Southern Conference and Mid-American tourneys, as Wofford and Buffalo seem like solid bets to make the Field of 68, regardless.

Bracketology: Keep an eye on LSU

March 7, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Keep an eye on LSU.  The Tigers continue inching their way up the seed list, grabbing the final No. 2 seed this morning, passing Michigan State.  Following last night’s win at Florida, the Bayou Bengals are 9-2 vs. Quad 1 teams, including wins over both Tennessee and Kentucky, and are 9-1 in true road games.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

For various reasons, next week’s SEC tournament in Nashville will be worth the price of admission.  Tennessee and Kentucky are jockeying for No. 1 seeds; and what if LSU wins the SEC tourney, beating Kentucky and/or Tennessee again?  They would have to be in the discussion, right?

It was a mixed night on the bubble, with Seton Hall winning a huge home game against Marquette.  It was an equally rough night for North Carolina State, who lost at home to Georgia Tech.  The Wolfpack are squarely on the cutline heading into the ACC tournament.