QT: Making sense of Colorado and Temple

November 19, 2022 Leave a comment

QuickTakesColorado and Temple present two of the more interesting early resumes.  How might the Selection Committee view such variants in performance?  Traditionally, notable victories, especially on the road or on neutral courts, weigh more heavily than outlying losses.  But there are limits to those losses, as Dayton proved last year with its Quad 4 performances.

Colorado – Through five games, the Buffalos own a road win at Tennessee and a rather dominate neutral-court victory over Texas AM.  Those same Buffs lost at Grambling State (likely to end up in Quad 4) and to Massachusetts in the same event as Texas AM.  Quick takes:

  • Plus: Tennessee should end up as a Quad 1 victory on the team sheet.
  • Questions: Texas AM entered the Myrtle Beach invite ranked; the Aggies will undoubtedly leave unranked with a lot of concerns.  We don’t know much about the Minutemen.  They fell at home to Towson before edging the Buffalos and Murray State.
  • Minus: Loss to Grambling State will linger – even with the reminder that road games (anywhere) are never easy.
  • Takeaway: Definition of an early bubble resume.

Read more…

QT: Michigan State showing some early Mojo

November 16, 2022 Leave a comment

College basketball is alive and well in East Lansing.  We can acknowledge the long road ahead while also recognizing that Michigan State might be better than we first thought.  In a five-day span, the Spartans have dropped a one-point decision to Gonzaga and taken down Kentucky.  Splitting two games with preseason No. 1 seeds is rather nifty.  MSU’s next two contests: Villanova and Alabama.  We applaud your schedule, Tom Izzo.

QuickTakesAdditional Quick Takes:

  • Kansas beat Duke in Indianapolis.  Close game.  Status quo for both.
  • North Carolina keeps winning – but by relatively small margins given its competition.  Things that make you go hmm, even if quietly.
  • Dayton took its show to UNLV and lost to the Rebels.  We’ll learn more about the Flyers at the Battle 4 Atlantis next week.  UNLV is off to a 3-0 start, but its remaining non-conference schedule is rather light.  Check back in January.
  • Meanwhile, Saint Louis toppled Memphis and is A or 1A with Dayton in the Atlantic 10 race.
  • Upsets continue: Colgate knocked off Syracuse and Washington State fell at Prairie View AM.  For what it’s worth, SWAC teams now have three wins against Pac-12 schools in the Pac-12/SWAC Legacy Series.  Something else that makes you go, hmm.  And hmm some more.
  • Wild start for Temple.  In three games, the Owls have lost to Wagner, beaten Villanova and lost to Vanderbilt.

Read more…

QT: Oregon, Villanova, OSU join upset list

November 13, 2022 Leave a comment

Oregon, Villanova and Oklahoma State are the latest early-season victims to take the Upset City off ramp. Florida State previously took the exit and then missed the returning on-ramp by falling at Central Florida (which lost to UNC Asheville) – a rather inauspicious start for the Seminoles, who opened their season at No. 40 on the preseason seed list.  Someone needs to send out an APB for FSU.

QuickTakesOregon dropped a home game to UC-Irvine.
Villanova lost at Temple – which opened its season with a loss to Wagner.  Temple could well have a strong season, but the Wildcats losing here was still a bit surprising.  Insert reminder: true road games are never easy.
Oklahoma State fell at home to Southern Illinois.  The Salukis should challenge Drake in the Missouri Valley, so we could flip this as a resume-building win for SIU.  Either way, a notable result.

Toledo tops UAB
Somewhere down the road we could look back at Toledo’s neutral-court victory over Alabama-Birmingham as a building block toward at-large consideration.  UAB rightfully garnered a lot of preseason expectations out of Conference USA.  Toledo and Kent State are favorites for the Mid-American title.  Just something to keep in mind. Read more…

QT: A few stops in Upset City

November 10, 2022 Leave a comment

We are three days into a new college basketball season and several teams have already made pitstops in Upset City.  A handful of others nearly took the exit by mistake.

QuickTakesOklahoma lost at home to Sam Houston.
USC lost at home to Florida Gulf Coast.
Florida State lost at home to Stetson.

These are the headliners.  Elsewhere: Temple dropped a home decision to Wagner, Central Florida (UCF) fell at home to UNC Asheville, Boise State lost at home to South Dakota State, and the Kenny Payne era opened in Louisville with a one-point loss to cross-town neighbor Bellarmine.

Opening week has been anything but boring. Read more…

Categories: Current Updates

Preseason Seed List: North Carolina, Kentucky lead Field

November 5, 2022 Leave a comment

SeedListGraphicWe have to start somewhere, and with the 2022-23 college basketball season upon us, we start with our preseason Seed List.  Blue Blood programs North Carolina and Kentucky lead the way, with Houston and Gonzaga next in line.  It will be interesting to see if Houston can find its way to this year’s Final Four – which happens to be in Houston.

2023 Preseason Seed List

If we were seeding these teams for a bracket, the four projected No. 1 seeds would look like this:
North Carolina – EAST (New York)
Kentucky – SOUTH (Louisville)
Houston – MIDWEST (Kansas City)
Gonzaga – WEST (Las Vegas)

If we broke down the Top 4 seeds by Region, it would look like this:
EAST – North Carolina, Kansas, Tennessee, Xavier
SOUTH – Kentucky, Baylor, Duke, Indiana
MIDWEST – Houston, Arkansas, Texas, Arizona
WEST – Gonzaga, UCLA, Creighton, TCU Read more…

Categories: Current Updates