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Posts Tagged ‘2014 NCAA Tournament Projections’

Inside the Bracket: Will we have a bid thief?

March 15, 2014 Leave a comment

dave1It’s the Saturday before Selection Sunday and teams hovering at the cutline will be watching to see what happens in the Atlantic 10, Atlantic Coast (ACC), and Southeastern (SEC) conference tournaments.  The reasons: St. Bonaventure, North Carolina State, and Georgia.  Should any of the three win two more games, a potential at-large berth disappears.

Bracket Projection

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In other words, a team currently headed to Dayton for the First Four, could be headed to the NIT, instead.

As additional resumes complete, the Selection Committee in Indianapolis will also be dissecting and comparing resumes from teams such as Green Bay, Southern Mississippi, and perhaps Toledo or Louisiana Tech – if either of those loses in their conference tournament final.  We have one day to go, but all is not settled. Read more…

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Categories: Current Updates

Inside the Bracket: Moving Day – Part II

March 14, 2014 Leave a comment

dave1After a somewhat crazy Thursday, the bubble continues to shift in multiple directions.  And with Villanova’s stunning loss to Seton Hall, the final No. 1 seed slot is wide open as action resumes throughout the college hoops landscape.  Kansas, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Virginia all take to the hardwood with their eyes on the top of the East Region.  We also can’t completely eliminate teams like Syracuse.

Bracket Update

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Quick notes about today’s (March 14) bracket update …

Florida State slides into the final at-large spot.  One could go any number of directions among the bubble contenders, but the Seminoles have a couple of small advantages: non-conference wins over two tournament teams (VCU, Massachusetts) and a road win at Pittsburgh.  As a side note, FSU lost to Michigan by two and Florida by one in its pre-conference slate.  By comparison, Providence and Minnesota have done their best work at home and neither has two NCAA-level non-league wins.  We’ll see how the Seminoles fare moving forward.  Next up: Virginia.  It’s Moving Day – Part II on the bubble. Read more…

Categories: Current Updates

Inside the Bracket: It’s Moving Day

March 13, 2014 Leave a comment

dave1If you’ve ever watched The Masters golf tournament in early April, they refer to Saturday as Moving Day.  It’s the day when golfers position themselves for a run at the Green Jacket.

In the world of college hoops, today and tomorrow are like Moving Day at selection headquarters.  Teams on the proverbial NCAA tournament bubble will be trying to position themselves for a spot in the Field of 68.  With as many as 13 spots still in question – to varying degrees – much could be decided between now and Saturday morning.  It’s why hoop-heads love Championship Week almost as much as the tournament itself.

Bracket Update

S-Curve

Quick notes about today’s (March 13) bracket update:

American joins the Field as the automatic qualifier from the Patriot League.  Meanwhile, the Georgetown Hoyas’ hopes of an at-large berth received a serious jolt after an opening round loss to DePaul Wednesday night in Madison Square Garden.  The Hoyas were among the First Five OUT yesterday and are further down the seed list today.

Inside the bracket, there were no other changes.  Stanford survived against Washington State.  Oregon, Baylor, and Oklahoma State all won opening round games in their league tournaments.

If you’re ready for Moving Day, the wait is over.

Categories: Current Updates

Inside the Bracket: Gonzaga grabs WCC bid, BYU waits

March 12, 2014 Leave a comment

dave1A couple of quick notes about today’s bracket (March 12) update:

After securing another West Coast Conference title Tuesday night, the Gonzaga Bulldogs can rest easy while waiting for the 68-team bracket to be revealed on Sunday night.  The same can’t be said for Brigham Young.  It’s going to be a tense few days for the Cougars.  For now, BYU retains its spot in the First Four as one of the final at-large teams in the field.  But the Cougars could be overtaken as further bubble games unfold between now and Selection Sunday.

Bracket Update

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Beyond Gonzaga, we official welcome Milwaukee, Mount St. Mary’s, and North Dakota State to the bracket as automatic qualifiers.

Today, several power conferences begin tournament play.  The rest start tomorrow.  While some teams are more secure than others, up to 13 spots remain uncertain for the stretch run.  That should make for a lot of exciting action.

Categories: Current Updates

Inside the Bracket: Delaware, Manhattan, Wofford punch tickets

March 11, 2014 Leave a comment

dave1A couple of quick notes about today’s (March 11) bracket update:

We welcome Delaware, Manhattan, and Wofford as automatic qualifiers.  Each punched its ticket Monday night.  Unlike some bubble teams, they can rest easy in anticipation of the NCAA Selection Show on Sunday evening.

Bracket Update

S-Curve

Brigham Young (BYU) survived in overtime to beat San Francisco in the semifinals of the West Coast Conference tournament.  The Cougars face top-seeded Gonzaga in the championship game tonight.  A bubble team among the First Four participants, BYU could erase any doubt by capturing the WCC crown.  Otherwise, there will be some tense moments for the Cougars between now and Selection Sunday.

Also tonight … Dance cards will be awarded to the winners of the Summit League, NEC, and Horizon League.  Wednesday, the games really get rolling.  Enjoy the action.

Categories: Current Updates

Bubble Banter: Cal, Stanford need course correction

March 8, 2014 Leave a comment

dave1It’s been a rough couple of weeks for Pac-12 teams in the Bay Area.  California has lost three straight and four of five.  Stanford has also dropped three straight.  Both schools are coming off home losses (Utah and Colorado), and both need a course correction to avoid problems on Selection Sunday.

Bubble Banter – March 8

Stanford’s win at Connecticut is worth mentioning first, and perhaps puts the Cardinal a tiny bit ahead of Cal at this juncture.  As for the rest of its resume?  Stanford is 6-10 vs. Top 100 RPI teams and has a losing record (9-11) against the Top 150.  When you factor in the three-game skid – which included missed opportunities against Arizona and Arizona State – there’s reason for concern.  Other than the win at UConn, Stanford’s best non-conference victory is either Northwestern or  Denver.

California has its home win over Arizona.  Impressive as that is, the Bears are 6-11 vs. the RPI Top 100 and two of those wins are against Washington (No. 95 as of this morning – March 8). Outside the league, they beat Arkansas in Maui and also beat Denver.   Having played a couple more Top 150 games, Cal is 11-11 by comparison.  During its three-game slide, Cal also missed opportunities against Arizona and Arizona State.

Safe to say, both the Bears and Cardinal have work to do at the Pac-12 tournament. Read more…

Bracket Update: Gators, Wildcats chase No. 1 overall seed

March 7, 2014 Leave a comment

dave1Championship Week begins tomorrow.  It’s time to start handing out Dance tickets.

The two teams leading our March Madness Gala … Florida and Arizona.  The Gators and Wildcats both have the opportunity to enter the NCAA Tournament dance as the overall No. 1 seed.  Should both win their remaining games – including conference tournament titles – the edge will likely to go Arizona.  Not that it’s that critical this year because the two teams are geographically separated.  Florida will lead the South Region; Arizona the West.  A year ago, when Louisville and Indiana were battling for the top spot in the Midwest, and a route through Indianapolis, that top position meant more.

Bracket Update

S-Curve

Wichita State begins Missouri Valley Tournament play today in St. Louis.  The Shockers ended the regular season without a blemish.  If they win three more under the Arch, expect WSU to be a No. 1 seed on Selection Sunday.  Kansas continues to hold the final No. 1 slot.  Four other teams are chasing the top line: Wisconsin, Michigan, Virginia, and Villanova.  Recent struggles make it difficult for Syracuse to regain a No. 1 seed. Read more…

Categories: Current Updates