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Posts Tagged ‘2019 NCAA Tournament Projections’

Bracketology: Keep an eye on LSU

March 7, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Keep an eye on LSU.  The Tigers continue inching their way up the seed list, grabbing the final No. 2 seed this morning, passing Michigan State.  Following last night’s win at Florida, the Bayou Bengals are 9-2 vs. Quad 1 teams, including wins over both Tennessee and Kentucky, and are 9-1 in true road games.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

For various reasons, next week’s SEC tournament in Nashville will be worth the price of admission.  Tennessee and Kentucky are jockeying for No. 1 seeds; and what if LSU wins the SEC tourney, beating Kentucky and/or Tennessee again?  They would have to be in the discussion, right?

It was a mixed night on the bubble, with Seton Hall winning a huge home game against Marquette.  It was an equally rough night for North Carolina State, who lost at home to Georgia Tech.  The Wolfpack are squarely on the cutline heading into the ACC tournament.

 

Bracketology: Duke avoids Wake-up call

March 6, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Duke escaped an around-the-rim, Madness moment Tuesday night in Durham as Wake Forest’s final shot slowly eased around basket before falling away – allowing the Blue Devils to survive an inconceivable upset at Cameron Indoor.

Bracketology  |   Seed List

While a win is a win, and we’ve reached the survive-and-advance portion of the season, Selection Committee members anxiously await news about the return of Zion Williamson.  Duke is an immensely talented team with or without Williamson, but they are clearly not the same team.   If he doesn’t suit up Saturday or in the ACC tournament, a decision will have to be made regarding Duke’s landing spot on the final Seed List.  Stay tuned.

Bubble winners on Tuesday: Minnesota and Oklahoma.  Despite a less-than-ideal Big 12 record, the Sooners seem on solid footing at this point after dispatching Kansas.  Minnesota can also take a sigh of relief – at least for now – after adding a home win over Purdue to its resume.

 

Bracket Bits: Weekend bubble watch

March 1, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015It’s a big weekend for bubble teams.  March has arrived, and time is running short.

Next week, conference tournaments begin for several small and mid-major leagues – leading us into Championship Week.  With that notice in mind, here are some of the weekend’s most notable bubble opportunities …

Memphis at Cincinnati.  The Tigers have crept back into the at-large picture thanks to a stretch of five wins in six games, an improved NET rating, and a currently advantageous bubble setup.  A road win at UC would give them a worthy addition to a profile that includes victories over UCF and Temple, two other American bubble contenders. Read more…

Bracketology: Kentucky returns to top line

February 25, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Kentucky began its bracket journey as the projected No. 1 seed in the South Region last October.  As March nears, the Wildcats return to the top line, holding the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region.  For context, UK has lost just twice since the start of 2019, by a combined four points.

Bracketology   |    Seed List

Duke continues as the No. 1 overall seed, followed by Virginia and Gonzaga.  Tennessee, North Carolina, Michigan State and Michigan remain in the top-seed discussion.  All eight have a lot at stake these next three weeks.

The cutline is equally compelling.  Will some early contenders make late runs to regain a look?  Will teams like Texas, Minnesota, and Ohio State hold on?  Will this be the year we see an at-large bid or two granted to deserving mid-majors?  The Madness is about to begin.

Bracketology: The Zion factor for Duke

February 21, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015The pertinent question this morning is the health of Zion Williamson.  Foremost, because he’s an exceptional talent and life is bigger than basketball.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

The secondary component is how his injury impacts Duke – both on the court and, subsequently, the Blue Devils’ standing on the Seed List.  If last night were the eve of Selection Sunday, the Committee would be forced to make a tough decision: evaluating Duke while Zion’s future availability is unknown.

Since a decision related to today’s bracket had to be made quickly in the wee hours of the morning with little information, Duke stays put, largely because the Blue Devils own a season sweep of Virginia, and two of its losses occurred with less than a full roster.  Once we know more about Zion’s status, further review will ensue.

As for the bubble, it’s a day-by-day thing.  This morning, Florida returns to the bracket after a huge road win at LSU.

Quick Takes: Baylor strengthens profile

February 20, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Baylor exited Ames Tuesday night with a victory over Iowa State – giving the Bears a regular-season sweep of the Cyclones.  Paired with a victory over Texas Tech, a solid road record (5-4), and a combination of 11 Quad 1/2 wins. the Bears profile looks that much stronger this morning – even with those two early-season Q4 losses.

In other words, Baylor is playing its way into the Field of 68, and it would take a notable course reversal for that to change with just under four weeks until Selection Sunday.

We can’t say the same for Alabama or Nebraska this morning. Read more…

Bracketology: Virginia marches South

February 18, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015With a coveted spot atop the South Region in play, Virginia benefited from Tennessee’s loss at Kentucky on Saturday night.  By a narrow margin, UVA moved to No. 2 on the Seed List, dropping Tennessee to No. 3 overall.  As a result, the Cavaliers march South as the No. 1 seed in the Louisville region, bumping the Volunteers to the Midwest.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Kentucky stays put as the top two-seed, which leaves an interesting question: Would the Committee place UK in the South Region opposite Virginia knowing the potential advantage it could give the Wildcats in an Elite Eight matchup in Louisville? Read more…