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Posts Tagged ‘Bracket Bits’

Bracket Bits: Confidence Index for Sweet 16

March 27, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015After a pair of opening weekend NCAA tournament games, we’re down to the Sweet 16.  Hopefully, you have several of the teams below among your remaining bracket picks.  Now the question becomes: What is your confidence level for each of the teams below moving forward in terms of reaching the Final Four and/or winning the 2019 National Championship?

Upcoming variable include the health of Kentucky’s P.J. Washington, along with your takes on the sustainability of hot-shooting teams like Auburn.  Anyway, here’s my Confidence Index for the Sweet 16 …

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Bracket Bits: Five takeaways from the Round of 64

March 23, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015The first two days of this year’s NCAA tournament are behind us.  And while we didn’t have an incredible buzzer-beater, we still had plenty of drama.  Here are five quick takeaways from Thursday and Friday …

High seeds advanced … Other than No. 13 seed UC-Irvine’s upset of Kansas State (which really wasn’t that big of an upset), the top of the bracket remains chalky.  Duke, Virginia, North Carolina, and Gonzaga all moved on with relative ease, even though their opening halves created a little angst in Durham, Chapel Hill, and Charlottesville.   In all, every No. 2 and No. 3 seed also reached the Round of 32.

12-5 Upsets returned … A year removed from stability in the traditionally unpredictable 12-5 matchups, No. 12 seed Liberty ousted No. 5 seed Mississippi State and No. 12 seed Oregon dumped No. 5 seed Wisconsin.  Neither the Bulldogs nor the Badgers were playing their best basketball in March, so it’s not overly surprising.   And with UC-Irvine taking down Kansas State, Oregon will be favored to reach the Sweet 16. Read more…

Bracket Bits: Five questions as you make your picks

March 19, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015As the Madness unfolds, and you ponder your picks for this year’s bracket, five quick questions come to mind  …

Which St. John’s team will show up?  Chris Mullen’s group has enough talent to reach the second weekend.  They’ve also been wildly erratic.  If the Red Storm show up interested and together, guard Shamorie Ponds can take over games.  If they show up merely hoping it goes well, and it doesn’t early, the Johnnies could just as easily exit stage left without much fanfare.

How will LSU handle its distractions?  By all accounts, head coach Will Wade won’t be on the sideline for the Tigers, who won a share of the SEC regular season title before being bounced by Florida in the SEC tournament quarterfinals.  The Tigers are talented enough to reach the Elite 8.  And if the events in Baton Rouge galvanize the Tigers, watch out. If not, they, too, could find their way back home by the end of the first weekend. Read more…

Bracket Bits: Mid-week bubble games worth tracking

March 12, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015It will be a decisive week for several teams along the bubble.  For starters, we have a variety of power conference teams trying to maneuver their way through league tournaments.  We also have some quality mid-major programs with viable profiles who are waiting and watching as events unfold.

With that in mind, here’s a quick peek at some mid-week bubble games that could have significant bracket ramifications come Sunday night …

WEDNESDAY
Clemson vs. NC State (ACC) … Whether both of these ACC bubble teams can make the final bracket remains to be seen.  But this has the look and feel of a potential elimination game.  It likely depends on how the Selection Committee uses its newly minted NET ratings for selection and whether or not the Committee’s prior emphasizes on a team’s non-conference strength of schedule remains part of the current equation.  For what it’s worth, each team’s SOS and NC-SOS are still noted on the NCAA’s official team sheets.

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Bracket Bits: Weekend bubble watch

March 1, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015It’s a big weekend for bubble teams.  March has arrived, and time is running short.

Next week, conference tournaments begin for several small and mid-major leagues – leading us into Championship Week.  With that notice in mind, here are some of the weekend’s most notable bubble opportunities …

Memphis at Cincinnati.  The Tigers have crept back into the at-large picture thanks to a stretch of five wins in six games, an improved NET rating, and a currently advantageous bubble setup.  A road win at UC would give them a worthy addition to a profile that includes victories over UCF and Temple, two other American bubble contenders. Read more…

Bracket Bits: An early look at the Bubble

January 12, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015We’re fanatics about college basketball, which means we get way too excited, at times, about things we probably shouldn’t – like talking about Bubble teams in early January.  Then again, we are who we are, right?

With that backdrop, let’s take an early – a way too early look  – at how Bubble Talk might appear if we opened up the curtain a smidgen this morning.  It’s a quick peek, nothing more. The real Bubble Talk resumes in early February. Read more…

Bracket Bits: Five Top 25 NET-rated teams with resume questions

January 5, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015As an early-January exercise, it’s worth taking a look inside the resumes of a few highly-regarded teams based on current NET rankings, the updated tool the NCAA Selection Committee has donned for 2019.  I’ve picked five teams from the Top 25 this morning with varying resume questions.  Keep in mind, this isn’t about how “good” the teams might be, but rather about how their Team Sheet stacks up against their NET rating.  Here’s where we ended up …

NC STATE (13-1)
Ratings: NET (No. 11); KenPom (No. 20); BPI (No. 10); SOR (No. 15)
Inside the resume: The first thing that stands out on the Wolfpack’s Team Sheet is nine (9) home wins against Group 4 – meaning their effective record is a meager 4-1.  It’s also the reason why State’s NC SOS is around 340, which if the Pack struggle in ACC play, could give the Committee reason to pause.  The good news is a home win over Auburn and a neutral-court win over Vanderbilt.  Their other wins are Penn State and Miami, neither of which looks like an NCAA team.
Upcoming games: @North Carolina, Pittsburgh, @Wake Forest, @Notre Dame Read more…