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Bracket Report: How did results measure up?

March 14, 2022 Leave a comment

Dave2015Ultimately, my final projection yielded solid results – although I am a little disappointed with a couple of seed line decisions (by the Committee, of course!).  Here are the basics:

  • Correctly selected 35/36 at-large teams (67/68 overall). My miss was Notre Dame/Texas AM.  I do not have a significant issue with it; Notre Dame was in until Richmond took a spot.
  • Correctly seeded 41 teams on their actual seed line.  Was hoping for a little better here.
  • Correctly seeded another 23 teams within one of their actual seed line.
  • Missed three teams (TCU, Murray State, Iowa State) by two seed lines.  The two most notable for me were Murray and Iowa State, in opposite directions.  I think Murray is a little over-seeded (not that Murray isn’t a great team), and I think Iowa State more typically fits the profile of an 8/9 team.  Other than its win total (largely against non-tournament teams), I do not see how USC would be slotted above TCU; which accomplished more on the court.
  • My goal will be to improve seeding in 2023.  There will always be a tough call somewhere along the cutline, and there is rarely a consensus among Committee members; hence the voting process.

I will share some additional thoughts about the bracket and its regions soon.  Most importantly, I express my sincere appreciation to all of you who followed along and participated here at Bracketville.  It’s an incredibly fun hobby and your interactions make the work worth it.  Thank you!

Bracket Watch: Gonzaga headlines Field of 68

March 13, 2022 Leave a comment

home-tournament-64-thumb.jpgWe’ve made it to Selection Sunday.  And to no one’s surprise, the Gonzaga Bulldogs lead the latest Field of 68, followed on the No. 1 seed line by Arizona, Kansas and Baylor.  The order became clear following Kentucky’s loss to Tennessee and the Jayhawks’ victory over Texas Tech in the Big 12 title game.

Bracketology
Seed List Read more…

Bracket Report: Kansas, Kentucky move up

March 12, 2022 Leave a comment

home-tournament-64-thumb.jpgOne more day.  That’s all that stands between us and Selection Sunday.  What a ride it’s been.  And we’re not done.  We could still lose three more at-large positions with Virginia Tech, Texas AM and a potential bid thief in the Atlantic 10 still in play.

Bracketology
Seed List

Kansas and Kentucky now control their paths to the No. 1 seed line.  With Baylor losing and Kansas advancing, the Jayhawks have likely garnered another top seed.  If Kentucky wins the SEC tournament, the final spot should belong to the Wildcats.  They may earn it either way – provided they beat Tennessee today in the SEC semifinals.  Baylor remains a strong option should UK slip. Read more…

Bracket Report: Long waits for Xavier, Wake Forest

March 10, 2022 Leave a comment

home-tournament-64-thumb.jpgWake Forest and Xavier exited Stage Left on Wednesday – opening the door for a host of other bubble teams who are taking the court today and Friday.  All Wake and XU can do now is wait – and it may not end well for either.  Until we see results additional results, both the Demon Deacons and Musketeers hold onto spots in the Field – slated to face each other in Dayton.  By 6:00 p.m. today – that could change.

Bracketology
Seed List

Notable bubble teams in action today:
Indiana vs. Michigan – The Wolverines might survive a loss; it’s much less likely for the Hoosiers.
Florida vs. Texas AM – Feels like an elimination game.
Oklahoma (vs. Baylor) – The Sooners need a run to the B12 title game.
Virginia Tech vs. Notre Dame – The Irish are among the Last 4 Byes, so this game matters to both.  In an odd way, Virginia Tech and Virginia can help Wake’s case.
Virginia (vs. North Carolina) – The Cavaliers survived Louisville, but have to beat red-hot Carolina.

Among No. 1 seed contendersArizona takes the court against Stanford.  The Wildcats are trying to garner a No. 1 seed in the South Region since it appears Gonzaga owns the West.

Bracket Report: Gonzaga clinches West Region

March 9, 2022 Leave a comment

home-tournament-64-thumb.jpgFollowing Gonzaga’s win over Saint Mary’s, we should have a least one piece of the No. 1 seed puzzle in place.  The Zags will reign over the West Region – and they will likely be the NCAA Tournament’s top overall seed on Sunday night.

Bracketology
Seed List

Today, action begins for some bubble teams:
Xavier battles Butler in its Big East opener;
Wake Forest takes on Boston College in the ACC;
Virginia meets Louisville (ACC).

A couple of minor adjustments on the Seed List – and Tuesday’s automatic qualifiers – are reflected in this morning’s bracket update.  Tomorrow, we turn the pressure cooker up a few degrees.