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Posts Tagged ‘Bracketology’

Bracket Bits: Oklahoma needs a U-Turn

February 20, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015With their losing streak now at six games (and 7 of 8 overall), the Oklahoma Sooners need a U-Turn.  The equity they built up by winning 14 of 16 games to open the season?  It’s dwindling.  The cache they built up by the Selection Committee anchoring them as a 4-seed during its mid-February Top 4 seed reveal?  That was three losses ago.  While conference record isn’t the measuring stick it once was, history suggests there are still limits to league under-performance.  Unless the Sooners win two of their last three – and they get Kansas State and Iowa State at home in that stretch – Oklahoma is looking at a Big 12 finish of 7-11 or, even, gulp, 6-12.  That isn’t the type of impression they want to leave on the table come Selection Sunday.   Read more…

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Bubble Talk: Trouble for Saint Mary’s?

February 17, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Could Saint Mary’s actually be on the NCAA bubble?  Well … that’s a tough question, without an easy answer.   The Gaels have had a great season, including a huge win at Gonzaga.  They’ve been ranked.  But after losing their return game with Gonzaga and then falling to San Francisco, are they still safe?

Bubble Talk

A closer look at SMC’s profile raises questions.  Elsewhere, we welcome Penn State to the bubble scene after its second win over Ohio State.  More importantly, the Nittany Lions have multiple chances to add NCAA-level wins down the stretch – which isn’t easy in year’s Big Ten.

Bracketology: You’re up, Auburn!

February 16, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Auburn, it’s your turn.  Welcome to the No. 1 seed line.

With Purdue’s loss at Wisconsin, the Boilermakers slip a notch, opening a door for the Tigers, who enter as the fourth overall seed and No. 1 seed in the West Region.  Kansas is now next in line.

Bracketology    |     Seed List

Virginia continues to lead the Field of 68, followed by Xavier, Villanova, and those aforementioned Tigers.  Just for fun, Xavier and Villanova meet on Saturday at the Cintas Center in Cincinnati.  Villanova won the first meeting in Philadelphia.

The bubble isn’t overly deep, but it is tightly contested.  There’s little separation among about 15 or so teams.  The result: there’s a lot left to decide between now and Selection Sunday.

Quick Takes: Providence, FSU post key wins

February 15, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015How unpredictable has college hoops been this season?  Look no further than Providence.  This past weekend, the Friars lost by double-digits at home to DePaul.  On the same floor Wednesday night, those same Friars took down Villanova.  Opposite ends of the spectrum, for sure.

It was also a big night for Florida State.  Heading into Wednesday night’s game against Clemson, the Seminoles had dropped three of four, including road tilts at Wake Forest and Notre Dame.  Then they found themselves down 18 points to the Tigers.  They needed a rally – and found it.  And that quickly, resume life looks a little more stable again for FSU.

Additional Quick Takes from Wednesday … Read more…

Bracketology: Virginia leads final march to Selection Sunday

February 12, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015The Selection Committee has spoken, having revealed its initial Top 16 teams (seed list) prior to games tipping on Sunday.  There were no overwhelming surprises, although one could debate the plusses and minuses of the Committee slotting Oklahoma as its final No. 4 seed, in particular.  Their reasoning throughout the Top 16, whether you agree or disagree, was pretty clear: the Committee still values traditional measures such quality wins, strength of schedule, road performance, and an RPI-based demarkation for sorting teams (now using Groups or Quadrants rather than merely Top 50 or Top 100).  That doesn’t mean individual or collective members of the Committee will not use or value other metrics (BPI, SOR, Ken Pom, etc) in the process, but the ole standbys appear to be actively in place.

Bracketology     |     Seed List

The Committee selected Virginia as its overall No. 1 seed, followed by Villanova, Xavier, and Purdue.  Purdue’s overall profile – and its small margins in defeat – kept the Boilermakers on the top line.  That said, we have about a month left, and things can change.  We’ve seen teams make late charges; we’ve seen teams go into late-February swoons.  The bubble is once again deep and includes a hodgepodge of resumes that look eerily similar.  In other words, the race is on.

 

Quick Takes: Saturday’s wild W’s and L’s

February 11, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Well, that was a wild Saturday!  We had some impressive victories – none more than Virginia Tech win at Virginia.  We also had some head-scratching losses – Providence dropping a home game to DePaul by double-digits?

One could spend hours trudging through the full, madness-filled day that was Saturday.  But this is Quick Takes, so here are a few of the most notable takeaways through the prism of winners and losers …

Saturday’s winners:

  • Virginia Tech’s win at Virginia tops the list.
  • Texas AM – watch out for the Aggies who appear to have righted their previously wayward ship.  They’ve won four straight after beating Kentucky on Saturday, which came after a win at Auburn.
  • North Carolina – took care of NC State on the road after beating Duke; thus, avoiding a let-down.
  • Michigan State – by beating Purdue, the Spartans are back in the Big Ten race.  They’ve also positioned themselves to be in the conversation for a top-two seed on Selection Sunday if they close with a flurry.
  • Oklahoma State and Baylor – the Cowboys won at West Virginia; Baylor beat Kansas. Both are back into the bubble picture again.
  • Gonzaga – exacted revenge by going on the road to beat Saint Mary’s.

Read more…

Bracketology: Cavaliers stand tall

February 9, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Yes, Virginia, you are the No. 1 overall seed in today’s bracket. Take a bow, you’ve earned it. The Cavaliers not only keep winning, they’ve just about wrapped up a regular-season ACC title. Think about this … in a deep, talented league, UVA owns a three-game lead on Clemson and a four-game lead on Duke and Miami.  Impressive no matter how you slice it.

Bracketology    |     Seed List

Despite a hiccup each, Villanova and Purdue retain their No. 1 seed positions.  One loss (nor one win) does a resume make.  The Boilermakers can either solidify their spot with a win at Michigan State on Saturday or crack the door further with a loss.

The lower end of the bracket is quirky today with the dearth of ACC teams (10) in the field.  It caused both a procedural bump and a deep dive into the bracketing playbook.