Posts Tagged ‘Bubble Teams’

Bracket Bits: Trouble brewing for Texas Tech?

March 1, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015As March arrives, so does a question about the at-large status of Texas Tech.

The Red Raiders lost at home to Texas on Saturday, leaving them with some potentially risky profile numbers.  These include a 3-8 record against Quadrant 1, a 7-11 mark against Quads 1/2, and a sub-.500 total against Quads 1-3 (10-11). TTU’s remaining eight wins are against Quad 4, with seven of those coming at home against teams ranked 235 or worse in the NET.

And … the next week is no picnic.  Texas Tech travels to Baylor before ending the season at home against Kansas.  What if the Red Raiders lose both and head to the Big 12 tournament at 18-13?  Solid NET number(s) or not, that’s tricky business.

The good news: TTU’s final two games are also a blessing in disguise.  Winning could undo much, if not all, of the angst heading to Kansas City. Read more…

Quick Takes: Rutgers’ road woes continue

February 27, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Away from The RAC, it’s been tough season for Rutgers. After rallying from a 21-point deficit Wednesday night, the Scarlet Knights saw another elusive road win disappear in the waning seconds at Penn State, leaving them 1-8 in road games and 1-10 in games played away from home.

After hosting Maryland next Tuesday, Rutgers travels to Purdue to close the regular season; one last chance for the Scarlet Knights to win a road game before heading to the Big Tourney (neutral court) in Indianapolis.

How might the Committee handle a Rutgers’ team with potentially 10 Big Ten wins – if they beat Maryland at home – but who might also finish 1-12 away from home if the Scarlet Knights lose at Purdue followed by an opening-round B10 tourney game?

It’s a question we don’t have to answer right now, but it looms large over the next two weeks. Historically, that type of futility away from home has given past Committee’s a reason to leave a team out. Read more…

Bubble Takes: Providence, UCLA emerge as serious contenders

February 23, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Three weeks from Selection Sunday, the once forgotten Providence Friars and UCLA Bruins have emerged as serious at-large contenders.  UCLA also finds itself in position to potentially win the Pac-12 regular season title.  Let that sink in for a moment.

Here’s quick glance at those two teams with three weeks to go – plus some other Bubble Notes from a busy Saturday:

With its victory over Marquette, Providence improved to 16-12 overall and 9-6 in the Big East.  While those numbers may not be overwhelming, consider where the Friars started 2020.  They ended the non-conference portion of their schedule at 7-6, with losses to Northwestern, Penn, Charleston, and Long Beach State.  In other words, it was going to take a long, uphill climb to re-emerge in March.  Thus far, mission accomplished.  Now, can the Friars finish the deal? Read more…

Bracketology: Selection Committee tabs Gonzaga for West Region

February 10, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015There’s been a lot of discussion about whether Gonzaga or San Diego State would be the No. 1 seed in the West Region if today were Selection Sunday.  We got a glimpse into how the Selection Committee would handle that debate on Saturday, and the Committee placed Gonzaga in the West – with San Diego State slotted to the East Region.


Overall, there were no surprises on the top line, with Baylor entrenched as the No. 1 overall seed, followed by Kansas.  The Bears would lead the South, with KU in the Midwest.  That’s how the bracket here has looked for about three weeks.

In all, 15 of the 16 top four seed lines in Friday’s bracket projection were the same as those revealed by the Selection Committee (with a couple variations in the order).  The one difference … Kentucky was No. 16 on the Seed List here; Michigan State was the Committee’s No. 16 team (the final No. 4 seed) before games this past weekend. Read more…

Bracketology: Battle for No. 1 Seeds

March 14, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015The Battle for No. 1 Seeds revs up today as three candidates take the floor in the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament.  Virginia, North Carolina and Duke begin their post-season treks with eyes on the East and South Regions, in particular.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Tomorrow, SEC candidates Kentucky, Tennessee and LSU hit the court in Nashville.  As do Big Ten contenders Michigan State and Michigan in Chicago.

It’s also a busy day along the bubble.  The next 48 hours are critical for a list of teams too long to mention.  Action also continues in the Mid-American Conference, where bubble teams will be rooting for Buffalo to win the league’s automatic bid.

Bracketology: Keep an eye on LSU

March 7, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Keep an eye on LSU.  The Tigers continue inching their way up the seed list, grabbing the final No. 2 seed this morning, passing Michigan State.  Following last night’s win at Florida, the Bayou Bengals are 9-2 vs. Quad 1 teams, including wins over both Tennessee and Kentucky, and are 9-1 in true road games.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

For various reasons, next week’s SEC tournament in Nashville will be worth the price of admission.  Tennessee and Kentucky are jockeying for No. 1 seeds; and what if LSU wins the SEC tourney, beating Kentucky and/or Tennessee again?  They would have to be in the discussion, right?

It was a mixed night on the bubble, with Seton Hall winning a huge home game against Marquette.  It was an equally rough night for North Carolina State, who lost at home to Georgia Tech.  The Wolfpack are squarely on the cutline heading into the ACC tournament.


Quick Takes: Trouble brewing for Texas, TCU

March 5, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015There’s no other way to say it … trouble is brewing for Texas and TCU.  If either, or both, want to find themselves in the 2019 NCAA tournament bracket, there’s work to be done.

Let’s start with Texas:
It’s easy to look at the Longhorns’ wins over North Carolina, Purdue, and Kansas (as examples) and forget these two other relevant resume factors … Texas has lost to four (4) non-tournament teams (including 2 Quad 3 – Radford, Providence at home) and is 2-8 in road games.  At 16-14 overall, it’s also time to remember that it’s exceedingly rare for a team that is only two games over. 500 to receive an at-large bid (Georgia did it once with a No. 1 SOS), and 15 is the most losses ever for an at-large bid (Vanderbilt, Alabama). Texas is knocking on both doors.
Where does that leave the Horns? … Texas likely has to win at least two more games to finish 18-15.  And that might not be enough.  Keep in mind, we’re likely to lose an at-large spot or two during Championship Week. Read more…