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Posts Tagged ‘College Basketball Rankings’

Quick Takes: Potential impact of NC SOS

February 14, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015We can identify teams like SMU, South Carolina, and Virginia Tech as recent casualties of weak non-conference strength of schedule (NC SOS) numbers on Selection Sunday.  The Selection Committee has repeatedly sent messages to teams who schedule heavy doses of non-conference games against the bottom third of the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI): stay clear of the bubble or risk being left out.

With that as a backdrop, here are six teams currently on the Bubble with either potential NC SOS trouble and/or a large number of non-conference games against the bottom end of Division 1. As part of the exercise, each of these team’s record minus those 200-plus NC RPI wins is noted in parenthesis … Read more…

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Quick Takes: Inside the top of the Seed List

January 22, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015It’s always fun to talk No. 1 and No. 2 seeds.  This season, we have a particularly high number of potential candidates.  As many as 12-15 teams could end up in play for those coveted eight spots.

For today’s purposes, I’ve selected nine teams to review, with the No. 1 seed line in mind, knowing only four can reside in those slots.  The next four would be No. 2 seeds.  First, let’s take a look at some metrics and composite rankings (since that’s all the rage, these days).  Note: Teams are listed in the order of the current seed list – heading into games on Monday, January 23.  Metric Rankings are through games played on Saturday, January 21 as none of the nine teams below played on Sunday.

Here are the metrics used: Read more…

Quick Takes: Composite rankings and the Seed List

January 16, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015This past week, the NCAA Men’s Basketball Selection Committee hinted that it may consider integrating a wider range of metrics into its selection and seeding process.  Although the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) has been the NCAAs primary tool for organizing teams, committee members have been free to utilize other metrics for several years – so this isn’t totally new territory.  Additional metrics include KenPom (Ken Pomeroy), Sagarin, and BPI ratings, among others.  Using various analytics, the ratings are designed to provide an objective overview about how teams perform beyond wins/losses, team records, etc.  You can decide for yourself how well the various ratings work.  We all have our preferences.  And the goal here isn’t to discuss the merits and pitfalls of each.

Interestingly, the Selection Committee also hinted that it could end up integrating a type of composite score (rating) for teams based upon the metrics selected for inclusion.  How that might look (and be calculated) remains to be seen.  But in the interest of college hoops fans (and a certain bracket nerd), I took the liberty of developing a composite for the teams at the very top of our seed list, and for some along the proverbial bubble.  Let’s take a look at how the process worked, along with some interesting side notes.  For this story, the composite rankings include the RPI, NPI (Nolan Power Index – Warren Nolen), ELO Chess, KenPom, and Sagarin.

Here’s the Top 10 on our Seed List – in order for Jan. 16, 2017 – with composite ranking in parenthesis: Read more…

Final results: Readers’ 2014 Preseason Power 24 Poll

October 29, 2013 Leave a comment

You have voted.  And there were no huge surprises, although Virginia Commonwealth (VCU) at No. 10 might seem a little high to some.  That doesn’t mean there wasn’t some close voting – especially in the middle or lower portions of the poll.  As usual, there were a variety of opinions and that’s what makes it fun.  Here are the final results:

Readers’ 2014 Preseason Power 24 Poll …

1. Louisville   2. Michigan State   3. Kentucky   4. Kansas

5. Duke   6. Arizona   7. Oklahoma State   8. Syracuse

9. Michigan   10. VCU   11. North Carolina   12. Florida

13. Wichita State  14. Ohio State  15. Memphis  16. Colorado

17. Gonzaga   18. Marquette   19. Connecticut   20. Tennessee

21. Oregon   22. Creighton   23. Baylor   24. UCLA

Additional teams that received votes (in no order) … Wisconsin, Iowa, Indiana, New Mexico, Harvard, Villanova, Georgetown, Saint Louis, Virginia, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, La Salle, UNLV, St. John’s

Thanks for your interest.  Bracketville’s Preseason Power 24 will be released soon and our preseason Bracket Projection will be completed next week prior to the season-opening games on November 8.  Join us all season.  We’re ready for some college hoops!

Categories: Current Updates

2014 Preseason Fan Poll: Choose teams 21-24

October 24, 2013 Leave a comment

We’re down to voting for the final four spots in our readers’ preseason Power 24.  Here is where we stand at this point.

1. Louisville  2. Michigan State  3. Kentucky  4. Kansas

5. Duke  6. Arizona  7. Oklahoma State  8. Syracuse

9. Michigan  10. VCU  11. North Carolina  12. Florida

13. Wichita State  14. Ohio State  15. Memphis  16. Colorado

17. Gonzaga  18. Marquette  19. Connecticut  20. Tennessee

As we’ve noted before, use the poll below to vote for teams 21-24.  Teams already voted into the Power 24 will not be listed.  Use “Other” to include a different team and please list the team in the space provided.

Thanks for your interest.

Categories: Current Updates

2014 Preseason Fan Poll: Choose teams 17-20

October 20, 2013 Leave a comment

As the voting mounts, you have selected Wichita State, Ohio State, Memphis, and Colorado into spots 13-16 of the readers’ preseason Power 24.  Here is where we stand to this point:

1. Louisville  2. Michigan State  3. Kentucky  4. Kansas

5. Duke  6. Arizona  7. Oklahoma State  8. Syracuse

9. Michigan  10. VCU  11. North Carolina  12. Florida

13. Wichita State  14. Ohio State  15. Memphis  16. Colorado

Now, it’s time to fill spots 17-20.  Remember, teams already voted into the Power 24 have been removed from the ballot.

Thanks for voting.  We’ll complete the readers’ ballot with spots 21-24 soon.

Categories: Current Updates

Illinois, Wichita State join the Power 24

December 4, 2012 Leave a comment

dave1Welcome to December.  Welcome Illinois and Wichita State to the Power 24.

The unbeaten Illini and Shockers slide into spots No. 23 and No. 24 on the s-curve as the week opened on December 3.  Close behind are Notre Dame (No. 25) and Baylor (No. 26).  Our top four s-curve spots remain the same: 1. Duke, 2. Indiana, 3. Louisville, 4. Syracuse.

December 3 – Power 24 update.

We’re roughly halfway through the non-conference season.  Several opportunities remain for teams to post resume building wins.  An eight-game resume isn’t much to work with.  There are teams which have yet to play a true road game.  There are teams who have yet to leave their home court.  There are teams who have yet to play a high-quality opponent.

Enjoy another good week of hoops.