Archive

Posts Tagged ‘Duke Blue Devils’

Bracketology: Happy hearts for Duke, LSU

February 14, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Since it’s Valentine’s Day, we’ll sweep the epic crumbles of futility – otherwise known as this year’s bubble – under the proverbial rug and try not to look.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Instead, we’ll send Happy Heart greetings to the Duke Blue Devils and LSU Tigers, both of whom celebrated huge road wins in the Commonwealth on Tuesday.  For their efforts, Duke remains the No. 1 overall seed in today’s bracket.  LSU rises to No. 12 on the seed list, good for the final No. 3 seed.

As for those crumbles, today’s cutline decisions included serious consideration for teams like Oklahoma, Indiana, Butler, and Florida, all of whom have significant resume issues. There are no clear answers, especially with regards to how the Selection Committee will use the NCAA’s new NET ratings.  The good news for those four, and others, is we still have games to play.

Advertisements

Quick Takes: LSU delivers SEC message

February 13, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Given its 23-point second-half comeback at Louisville, Duke will steal many of the headlines and highlights today.  That’s understandable.  But there was an equally compelling road heist that occurred a few hours earlier and a few miles away in Lexington, where the LSU Tigers rallied past Kentucky at Rupp Arena.  Safe to say, it was a stunning night in the Commonwealth.

With its victory, LSU now stands at 10-1 in the SEC, having won six straight league road games in the process.  In case you were wondering, that’s pretty good.  The Tigers also have the benefit (or detriment in terms of elite wins, I suppose) of only playing Kentucky and Tennessee once during the regular season.  LSU hosts the Volunteers a week from Saturday.  It’s officially a three-horse race for the SEC crown. Read more…

Bracketology: Committee pens Duke, Tennessee as 1-2 punch

February 11, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Few of us were surprised on Saturday when the Selection Committee announced that Duke and Tennessee were Nos. 1 and 1A on their Seed List.  After an action-filled weekend, neither position has changed, although one could argue that Duke’s win at Virginia, giving the Blue Devils a regular-season sweep, might create a more distinct line of separation between those two.

Bracketology    |    Seed List

The only top-line move this morning was lifting Gonzaga to No. 3 on the Seed List and dropping Virginia to No. 4.  Gonzaga still reigns over the West Region and Virginia the Midwest.  Elsewhere, team positions on the first four lines mirror what the Committee gave us on Saturday.  One could argue whether or not Iowa State would stay after a home loss to TCU, or about how losses by Louisville and Wisconsin might also impact those lines.  For today, we’ll let the Committee’s voice be heard.

Unfortunately, the Committee didn’t provide us any sort of insight into what has become a very mediocre bubble picture.  Then again, why take on that headache right now? Hopefully, some cleaner lines of separation will develop over the next three weeks.

Bracket Bits: Duke has inside track to East Region

February 10, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Beating Virginia for a second time gives Duke the inside track to the No. 1 Seed in the East Region – and thus a trip through Washington, DC.  The Blue Devils would have to win their opening weekend games to get there, of course, but we’re projecting here.

Saturday, the Selection Committee gave us a preview of their initial Top 16 seeds. Tennessee was 1A with Duke as play began yesterday, and the Volunteers backed up their standing by dispatching Florida in Knoxville.  No surprise, the Vols are just plain good.

Which brings us to No. 3 and No. 4 on the Seed List.  Saturday, those slots belonged, in order, to Virginia and Gonzaga – same as our Seed List.  Had Virginia won, the Cavaliers would likely be looking at the No. 1 Seed in the East Region this morning – or at least one could make a very strong case in their favor.  Saturday’s result changed the trajectory and, potentially, the geography, for both teams. Read more…

Seed List: Breaking down the top line

January 26, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Who’s the best team in college basketball?  It’s a tough question, with four or five terrific options.  Who’s the team with the best resume among those five?  Figuring that out was the goal of a deliberate break-down early this morning.

How did it turn out?  The biggest debate was actually between teams four and five, in other words, the last No. 1 seed and the top No. 2 seed.  In this case, those teams were Virginia and Michigan.

Seed List

Ultimately, Michigan State moved to the first position.  The Spartans have a group-best six road wins, lead the nation’s No. 2 NET-rated Conference, have five wins against the currently projected at-large field and rank No. 1 against the Strength of Record.  MSU also has 11 wins against NET Groups 1/2 – including nine  against Group 1.  Note: the last NET rankings available at the time of publication was through Wednesday’s games (1/23). Read more…

Bracketology: Five teams, four spots for top line

January 21, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Someone had to be the odd man, i.e. team, out this morning.  Try as I might, there simply wasn’t a way to fit five teams into four slots on the top seed line.  Five teams have deserving resumes, and if you consider Gonzaga, which you should, it’s really six teams for four spots.  Talk about your square pegs in round holes.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Depending on your choice of metric and resume breakdown, there is no “wrong” order to the five (or six).  If we were in the Selection Committee room, discussions would be eventful.  After several run-throughs, the weekend chaos on the top line (Michigan, Virginia, and Kansas all lost), left Tennessee and Michigan State in the top two positions.  For what it’s worth, being a “projected league champion” for bracket purposes this morning ended up being a factor, too.  The good news:  We still have eight weeks to sort through the process, and usually, these things work themselves out. Read more…

Quick Takes: Who’s the fourth No. 1 seed?

January 16, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015As we peek ahead toward Thursday’s bracket, one question stands out: Who’s the fourth No. 1 seed?  Is it Duke, which lost to Syracuse but was missing key players?  Is it Kansas, who has more Group 1 wins than anyone against the nation’s No. 1 schedule?  Or is it Michigan State, who is tied with KU with nine wins against Groups 1/2 and whose two losses (Kansas, at Louisville) are by a combined 10 points?

One could make a compelling case for any of the three, and since Selection Sunday is still two months away, it’s really not all that important today.  At quick glance, I would favor Kansas by a slight margin for these reasons: the Jayhawks’ top-rated schedule; their superior total of Group 1 wins, especially since two of those wins are Tennessee and Michigan State, and that head-to-head win over MSU as a tiebreaker.  The other No. 1’s on Thursday will be Michigan, Virginia, and the aforementioned Volunteers. Read more…