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Posts Tagged ‘No. 1 Seeds’

Bracketology: Are the No. 1 seeds locked up?

February 21, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015We’re about to enter the final two weeks of the regular season, and we’ve had the same No. 1 seed line for more than a month.  Which begs the question: Are the No. 1 seeds locked up?

Bracketology

We can’t go that far – yet.  But we may not be far off, either.  Baylor and Kansas play again Saturday in Waco.  At least for now, the outcome affects the Big 12 title chase more than it does the top line of the bracket.  Gonzaga plays at BYU, but would a single loss at a tough venue drop the one-loss Zags?  Probably not, although it could open the door for San Diego State to claim the West Region.  As for the Aztecs, they will be heavily favored in every remaining regular season game.  Without a surprise, they will enter the Mountain West tournament with a perfect record.  That’s an incredible accomplishment. Read more…

Bracketology: Baylor leads countdown to Selection Sunday

February 3, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015With the Super Bowl behind us, we look ahead toward Selection Sunday.

Bracketology

As the final month of the regular season begins, Baylor continues to lead our projected Field of 68.  The Bears cruised through December and January without a scratch and haven’t lost since November 8.  While it’s too early to begin throwing the word “lock” around, Baylor is in prime position to be one of this year’s No. 1 seeds when the Selection Committee reveals its bracket.

It’s looking more and more like Kansas will be in the mix again, too – along with both Gonzaga and San Diego State.  The Bulldogs and Aztecs will be favored in most if not all of their remaining games, with SDSU showcasing a perfect 22-0 record. Read more…

Bracketology: Baylor strengthens its grip on the No. 1 overall seed

January 27, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Baylor continues to strengthen its grip on the No. 1 overall seed.  The Bears won their fifth true road game (5-0 in opportunities) of the season at Florida on Saturday.  They are No. 1 in the NCAA’s NET ratings, 6-1 in Quadrant 1 games and 10-1 against Quadrant 1 and 2 opponents combined.  Baylor hasn’t lost since November 8, a nearly three-month stretch of perfection.

Bracketology

Elsewhere, the top line remains in tact.  There’s room for debate across lines two through four. It’ll be interesting to see how the Selection Committee views the profiles of teams like Florida State, Louisville and Duke in the weeks ahead.  Unless something changes, there will be fewer Quad 1 opportunities in this year’s Atlantic Coast Conference.

Tracking the Bubble is going to keep you busy.  It’s several lines deep into the bracket today.  The margins between a nine seed and an 11-seeded play-in team are minimal.  And that’s not factoring in the next 8-12 teams knocking on the door.

Quick Takes: Who’s the fourth No. 1 seed?

January 16, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015As we peek ahead toward Thursday’s bracket, one question stands out: Who’s the fourth No. 1 seed?  Is it Duke, which lost to Syracuse but was missing key players?  Is it Kansas, who has more Group 1 wins than anyone against the nation’s No. 1 schedule?  Or is it Michigan State, who is tied with KU with nine wins against Groups 1/2 and whose two losses (Kansas, at Louisville) are by a combined 10 points?

One could make a compelling case for any of the three, and since Selection Sunday is still two months away, it’s really not all that important today.  At quick glance, I would favor Kansas by a slight margin for these reasons: the Jayhawks’ top-rated schedule; their superior total of Group 1 wins, especially since two of those wins are Tennessee and Michigan State, and that head-to-head win over MSU as a tiebreaker.  The other No. 1’s on Thursday will be Michigan, Virginia, and the aforementioned Volunteers. Read more…

Bracketology: Don’t sleep on Xavier

February 2, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Don’t sleep on X.  That would be Xavier.  The Musketeers have an opportunistic stretch ahead.  Navigate it successfully, and X will remain squarely in the hunt for a No. 1 seed.  To date, the Musketeers are 9-3 vs. Quadrants 1 and 2 on the new RPI breakdown sheets.  They own a Top 15 strength of schedule, and the metrics coincide with their profile.  That stretch?  It includes these four games in a row: at Butler, at Creighton, Seton Hall, Villanova.  Winning three of those would be strong.  Win all four?  That would be enough to place Xavier front and center in the top-seed discussion.

Bracketology    |    Seed List

The middle of the bracket remains very unsteady in terms of seeding.  The bubble isn’t overly deep, but the margins between those teams is thin.  February should be fun.

Quick Takes: Searching for No. 1 seeds

January 17, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015That search for No. 1 seeds?  It’s far from over.  Oklahoma lost at Kansas State on Tuesday, meaning both the Sooners and West Virginia (on Monday) have lost this week – and it’s Wednesday morning.  Ultimately, our search may take a while.  In addition to depth and balance, particularly in the ACC and Big 12, we appear to lack – at least to this point – a handful of truly elite teams, teams you expect to win every night regardless of the opponent or where they play.  Instead, we have collective group of very good teams – fun for game action, but a little cloudy around the edges.

As of this morning, here’s a quick look at a handful of teams in relation to “wins against the field” – i.e. wins against teams currently projected to be at-large teams (based on Monday’s bracket) … Read more…

Quick Takes: Inside the top of the Seed List

January 22, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015It’s always fun to talk No. 1 and No. 2 seeds.  This season, we have a particularly high number of potential candidates.  As many as 12-15 teams could end up in play for those coveted eight spots.

For today’s purposes, I’ve selected nine teams to review, with the No. 1 seed line in mind, knowing only four can reside in those slots.  The next four would be No. 2 seeds.  First, let’s take a look at some metrics and composite rankings (since that’s all the rage, these days).  Note: Teams are listed in the order of the current seed list – heading into games on Monday, January 23.  Metric Rankings are through games played on Saturday, January 21 as none of the nine teams below played on Sunday.

Here are the metrics used: Read more…