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Posts Tagged ‘North Carolina Tar Heels’

Bracketology: Carolina, Kentucky move up

March 11, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015We begin a new week with two new No. 1 seeds … North Carolina and Kentucky.  The Tar Heels arrive after completing a season sweep of Duke.  The Wildcats arrive after beating Florida and having Tennessee fall at Auburn.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

The Blue Devils and Volunteers are next on the Seed List and could move back up with strong tourney showings.  Keep an eye, too, on Michigan State.  The Spartans beat Michigan a second time and winning the Big Ten tournament would put them in the conversation for a one seed.

Along the bubble, a few early-round tournament games might well end up being de-facto elimination games, especially in the ACC, Big East, and Big 10.  The cutline is a very unsettled landscape and it’s likely to change several times between now and Sunday.

Then we have teams like Belmont and Furman, both of whom must sit, wait, and watch.  It’s going to be a long week.

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Quick Takes: Carolina keeps rolling

February 27, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015North Carolina has won 11 of its past 12 games.  Victories in that stretch include Virginia Tech, Louisville, Duke, Florida State, and Syracuse.  The Tar Heels’ lone loss? Virginia.  If you look at the ACC standings this morning, you’ll find Carolina a half-game up on Virginia; tied in the loss column.  UNC is not only in contention for an ACC regular-season title, the Heels are also in contention for a No. 1 seed.

Kentucky need a little Hero Ball from Tyler Herro, whose 29 points allowed the Wildcats to avoid a home stumble against Arkansas.  The victory will keep UK on the one-line when the next bracket arrives on Thursday. Read more…

Quick Takes: Carolina back in the ACC race

February 3, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Rightfully so, most Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) talk has recently centered around Duke and Virginia.  Quietly, though, North Carolina has reeled off five straight league wins, avenging their only league loss yesterday by rolling Louisville at the KFC Yum! Center.  This morning, the Tar Heels are 7-1 in the ACC and could have the inside track to a conference title.

Here’s why … With the exception of a quick road trip to Duke on February 20, UNC plays its remaining gauntlet games at home: NC State, Virginia, Florida State, and a second match-up with the Blue Devils.  Winning at Clemson is no guarantee, of course, nor is winning a home game against, say, Syracuse.  But if you take a quick glimpse through the schedule book, you can find a path for the Tar Heels to win the regular-season ACC crown.  We probably weren’t thinking that a couple of weeks ago. Read more…

Bracketology: Kansas move up, bubble tightens

March 10, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015My how things can change, right?

Kansas moves into the Midwest Region courtesy of the Jayhawks’ win over Kansas State and Xavier’s loss to Providence.  The Musketeers remain the fourth No. 1 seed this morning, shifting to the West Region.  Close behind, now, is North Carolina, which beat Duke for a second time. If the Tar Heels beat Virginia in the ACC title game, they could find themselves as a No. 1 seed come Sunday morning.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Elsewhere, the bubble has tightened thanks to some upsets – particularly in the Mountain West.  Nevada is a likely at-large candidate, meaning their loss to San Diego State opens the door for SDSU or New Mexico to grab a seat, courtesy of the league’s automatic bid.  That’s bad news for teams along the cutline.

We still have more questions than answers, but as of this morning, Arizona State slides into the First Four and hopes to hang on.  If the Committee considers the non-conference season as important as the conference season, it’s hard to ignore ASU’s wins over Kansas, Xavier, and Kansas State (not to mention San Diego State and St. John’s).   Read more…

Bracketology: How high can Carolina climb?

February 23, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015On Monday, North Carolina passed Michigan State and Purdue on the Seed List (UNC is No. 7 overall).  Wednesday, the Tar Heels backed up their route of Louisville by winning another road game at Syracuse.  That’s six straight ACC victories – all but two of which are against teams in today’s bracket.  Carolina now has 10 Quadrant 1 wins, which ties the Tar Heels with Kansas for the most in that category (by a two-win margin).  Which brings us to this question: How high can Carolina climb?

Bracketology     |     Seed List

The answer, of course, depends on these next two weeks.  But given their strong schedule and depth of quality wins, a No. 1 seed isn’t out of the question if the Tar Heels beat Duke (again) to close the regular season and/or win the ACC tournament.

Overall, several ACC teams benefitted today by the confusing state of the SEC.  The middle of the bracket is littered with SEC teams who ebb and flow like the tides of the ocean.  These next two weeks will be important for them, too.

Quick Takes: How will Florida finish?

February 22, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015How will Florida finish its season?  That’s a huge question for the Gators, who face a tough closing stretch and an ultra-competitive SEC tournament.  Why does it matter?  Because for all of the Gators’ quality wins, they are sliding.  Their record is sliding, their RPI is sliding, and their perception as an NCAA team is sliding.

Since winning at Kentucky on January 20, Florida’s two wins of note are Baylor and LSU, both of which reside along the cutline.  The Gators are 3-6 during that stretch (their other win was South Carolina).  And here’s what lies ahead … Auburn (home), Alabama (road), Kentucky (home).  With a record of 17-11, their margin is sliding, too.  If the Gators win both home games, tensions ease.  That would put them at 19-12 heading into the SEC tournament with enough Quadrant 1/2 wins to easily make the NCAA tournament.  But what if they finish 1-2 in those last three?  Or, gulp, 0-3?  In those scenarios, Florida would enter its conference tourney at 18-13 or 17-14.  Vanderbilt snuck in last year with a loss-heavy profile – largely due to it overall strength of schedule.  But do the Gators want to test that theory again?  How will Florida finish?  It’s a huge question for the Gators to answer these next two weeks. Read more…

Quick Takes: Road woes for the Razorbacks

January 31, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Arkansas has a tidy RPI (No. 22 this morning), a non-conference win over Oklahoma, and a worthy SOS (23 overall, 58 NC).  So why would Tuesday’s loss at desperate Texas AM be a concern for the Razorbacks?  In and of itself, it wouldn’t be.  This issue is this … Arkansas is now 1-5 in road games.  Ahead, the Razorbacks have four remaining road trips.  If their road woes continue, they could be facing a 9-9 finish in the SEC, which would keep them much closer to the bubble than expected.  Closing home games include Kentucky and Auburn, so the home road isn’t a cakewalk, either.

Other Quick Takes from Tuesday: Read more…