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Posts Tagged ‘North Carolina Tar Heels’

Bracketology: Kansas move up, bubble tightens

March 10, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015My how things can change, right?

Kansas moves into the Midwest Region courtesy of the Jayhawks’ win over Kansas State and Xavier’s loss to Providence.  The Musketeers remain the fourth No. 1 seed this morning, shifting to the West Region.  Close behind, now, is North Carolina, which beat Duke for a second time. If the Tar Heels beat Virginia in the ACC title game, they could find themselves as a No. 1 seed come Sunday morning.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Elsewhere, the bubble has tightened thanks to some upsets – particularly in the Mountain West.  Nevada is a likely at-large candidate, meaning their loss to San Diego State opens the door for SDSU or New Mexico to grab a seat, courtesy of the league’s automatic bid.  That’s bad news for teams along the cutline.

We still have more questions than answers, but as of this morning, Arizona State slides into the First Four and hopes to hang on.  If the Committee considers the non-conference season as important as the conference season, it’s hard to ignore ASU’s wins over Kansas, Xavier, and Kansas State (not to mention San Diego State and St. John’s).   Read more…

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Bracketology: How high can Carolina climb?

February 23, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015On Monday, North Carolina passed Michigan State and Purdue on the Seed List (UNC is No. 7 overall).  Wednesday, the Tar Heels backed up their route of Louisville by winning another road game at Syracuse.  That’s six straight ACC victories – all but two of which are against teams in today’s bracket.  Carolina now has 10 Quadrant 1 wins, which ties the Tar Heels with Kansas for the most in that category (by a two-win margin).  Which brings us to this question: How high can Carolina climb?

Bracketology     |     Seed List

The answer, of course, depends on these next two weeks.  But given their strong schedule and depth of quality wins, a No. 1 seed isn’t out of the question if the Tar Heels beat Duke (again) to close the regular season and/or win the ACC tournament.

Overall, several ACC teams benefitted today by the confusing state of the SEC.  The middle of the bracket is littered with SEC teams who ebb and flow like the tides of the ocean.  These next two weeks will be important for them, too.

Quick Takes: How will Florida finish?

February 22, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015How will Florida finish its season?  That’s a huge question for the Gators, who face a tough closing stretch and an ultra-competitive SEC tournament.  Why does it matter?  Because for all of the Gators’ quality wins, they are sliding.  Their record is sliding, their RPI is sliding, and their perception as an NCAA team is sliding.

Since winning at Kentucky on January 20, Florida’s two wins of note are Baylor and LSU, both of which reside along the cutline.  The Gators are 3-6 during that stretch (their other win was South Carolina).  And here’s what lies ahead … Auburn (home), Alabama (road), Kentucky (home).  With a record of 17-11, their margin is sliding, too.  If the Gators win both home games, tensions ease.  That would put them at 19-12 heading into the SEC tournament with enough Quadrant 1/2 wins to easily make the NCAA tournament.  But what if they finish 1-2 in those last three?  Or, gulp, 0-3?  In those scenarios, Florida would enter its conference tourney at 18-13 or 17-14.  Vanderbilt snuck in last year with a loss-heavy profile – largely due to it overall strength of schedule.  But do the Gators want to test that theory again?  How will Florida finish?  It’s a huge question for the Gators to answer these next two weeks. Read more…

Quick Takes: Road woes for the Razorbacks

January 31, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Arkansas has a tidy RPI (No. 22 this morning), a non-conference win over Oklahoma, and a worthy SOS (23 overall, 58 NC).  So why would Tuesday’s loss at desperate Texas AM be a concern for the Razorbacks?  In and of itself, it wouldn’t be.  This issue is this … Arkansas is now 1-5 in road games.  Ahead, the Razorbacks have four remaining road trips.  If their road woes continue, they could be facing a 9-9 finish in the SEC, which would keep them much closer to the bubble than expected.  Closing home games include Kentucky and Auburn, so the home road isn’t a cakewalk, either.

Other Quick Takes from Tuesday: Read more…

Bracketology: Searching for No. 1 Seeds

January 19, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015That search for No. 1 seeds?  It may take a while.  We have some very good basketball teams.  But, at least to this point, we’re absent that handful of elite teams we’ve seen in recent years.  So if you’re writing teams on seed lines – including the top line – you might want to use a pencil.

Bracketology    |    Seed List

Kansas is squarely back in the race after beating West Virginia in Morgantown.  And keep eye on North Carolina, too.  The Tar Heels are quietly putting together the type of profile that Selection Committee members traditionally like.  They currently own the No. 1 overall SOS (strength of schedule) in the nation, and have six wins over “tourney” teams in today’s bracket update. Read more…

Quick Takes: Wofford stuns No Carolina

December 21, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015If you think you have college hoops figured out, think again. Wofford beat North Carolina Wednesday night – in Chapel Hill, at the Dean Dome.  The same Wofford team that lost by 20 at UNC-Asheville last month.  Then again, maybe the Terriers have found a groove; they’ve won five straight, a streak that also includes a win over Georgia Tech.  In other words, Wofford is 2-0 vs. the ACC this season and 4-4 vs. other Division I teams (they’ve played two non-D1 schools).  On a side note, Cameron Johnson debuted for UNC, played 17 minutes and finished with 10 points (seven of those at the FT line). Moving forward, he should give the Heels additional depth.

Other Quick Takes … Read more…

Quick Takes: Boise State on the move

December 2, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015If you missed it late Friday night, Boise State arrived in Eugene, Oregon and left with a road victory over the Ducks.  Jot that down in your notebook.  A road win against a power conference opponent has staying power.  It also helps the Mountain West Conference as a whole.  With the Big Ten flailing, a couple of additional bracket slots could be open in March.  Thus, if teams like Nevada, UNLV, San Diego State, and Boise State build worthy profiles – especially outside the league – they can be in contention for those at-large positions.

MWC opportunities continue to knock, too.  Before league play begins …

UNLV gets Arizona and Illinois …. Nevada gets cracks at Texas Tech and TCU (and already has a win over Rhode Island) … San Diego State gets Gonzaga (already has a win over Georgia) … and Boise still travels to SMU. Read more…