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Posts Tagged ‘S-curve’

Seed List: Breaking down the top line

January 26, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Who’s the best team in college basketball?  It’s a tough question, with four or five terrific options.  Who’s the team with the best resume among those five?  Figuring that out was the goal of a deliberate break-down early this morning.

How did it turn out?  The biggest debate was actually between teams four and five, in other words, the last No. 1 seed and the top No. 2 seed.  In this case, those teams were Virginia and Michigan.

Seed List

Ultimately, Michigan State moved to the first position.  The Spartans have a group-best six road wins, lead the nation’s No. 2 NET-rated Conference, have five wins against the currently projected at-large field and rank No. 1 against the Strength of Record.  MSU also has 11 wins against NET Groups 1/2 – including nine  against Group 1.  Note: the last NET rankings available at the time of publication was through Wednesday’s games (1/23). Read more…

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Bracketology: Michigan State gets its due

January 24, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Michigan State has completed a near two-month stretch of perfection, last losing at Louisville on November 27.  The Spartans’ run includes an impressive 8-0 start in the Big Ten and a 5-0 road record since that loss to the Cardinals.  Add in an impressive 7-2 mark against Group 1 (NET ratings) and MSU has a solid top-seed profile.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

In the interest of full disclosure, we have seven teams with viable one-seed resumes, and Kentucky is quickly building its case, too.  The race is on.

The middle and lower-end of the bracket remains littered with mix of average to questionable profiles.  That’s pretty typical for this time of year.  With Buffalo’s recent loss, Bowling Green earns the Mid-American’s automatic bid this morning; bumping the Bulls into the at-large pool.  That takes away one at-large spot from someone else.

Seed List: Duke jumps to No. 1

November 10, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015I have no idea who would win if Duke and Kansas played today.  But I do know that Duke beat Kentucky by 34 points at the Champions Classic and looked the part of a No. 1 overall seed.  So as of this morning – five days into the season – that’s where the Blue Devils now reside on the Seed List.

Seed List 

Elsewhere, Buffalo moves up after an overtime win at West Virginia. More importantly, the Bulls banked a power-worthy non-conference victory that has the chance to garner some major interest down the road. Read more…

Bracketology: You’re up, Auburn!

February 16, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Auburn, it’s your turn.  Welcome to the No. 1 seed line.

With Purdue’s loss at Wisconsin, the Boilermakers slip a notch, opening a door for the Tigers, who enter as the fourth overall seed and No. 1 seed in the West Region.  Kansas is now next in line.

Bracketology    |     Seed List

Virginia continues to lead the Field of 68, followed by Xavier, Villanova, and those aforementioned Tigers.  Just for fun, Xavier and Villanova meet on Saturday at the Cintas Center in Cincinnati.  Villanova won the first meeting in Philadelphia.

The bubble isn’t overly deep, but it is tightly contested.  There’s little separation among about 15 or so teams.  The result: there’s a lot left to decide between now and Selection Sunday.

Thanksgiving Seed List: Duke now No. 1

November 23, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015Perhaps the Blue Devils should have been No. 1 on the Seed List after beating Michigan State.  Now, there’s no question.  North Carolina State beat Arizona on Friday in what turned out to be a wild opening day at the Battle 4 Atlantis.  That opened up the top slot for Duke.  The only question now: Will the Blue Devils give it back?

Seed List

Back to the Bahamas: Tennessee’s overtime victory over Purdue, along with Northern Iowa’s tipping of SMU, leaves the Atlantis bracket a bit befuddled.  As it relates to today’s update, those neutral-court wins for NC State and UT provided significant vaults.  Winning against quality teams away from home has that effect – especially this early when resumes lack depth. Read more…

Quick Takes: Rocket start for Toledo

November 19, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015How about the start for Toledo?  The Rockets opened their season by beating Saint Joseph’s (Atlantic 10), and followed it up Saturday with a victory over Horizon League favorite Oakland.  Neither of those wins will shake the rafters, per se, but they are solid nonetheless.  The Mid-American Conference (MAC) race appears wide open, and thus far, Toledo has the notched the league’s best two wins.  Up next for the Rockets? A trip to Syracuse.  Opportunity knocks (again).

Other Quick Takes from Saturday: Read more…

Bracketology: Duke looks dangerous

March 11, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015As the final seconds ticked away in Brooklyn on Friday night, Duke celebrated a victory over rival North Carolina.  With it, the Blue Devils may also have secured the No. 2 seed in the East Region behind Villanova.  They certainly look dangerous.  Arizona tripped UCLA in the Pac-12, setting up a rematch with Oregon.  The winner will likely be the No. 2 seed out West.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Vanderbilt continues its climb and could become the first at-large team with 15 losses, assuming they fall short in the SEC tourney.  Elsewhere on the bubble, teams like Kansas State, Wake Forest, USC, and Illinois State must sit and watch; their resumes complete.  Pay special attention to the Atlantic 10 semifinals.  Rhode Island is close to grabbing a spot, and two potential bid thieves lurk opposite the sets of Rams (URI, VCU).  Today, it’ll be time to re-scrub the seed list again as more resumes fill up.