Archive

Posts Tagged ‘S-curve’

Bracketology: Virginia leads as March returns

February 28, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015A year ago, the Virginia Cavaliers were in the exact same position – sitting atop the college basketball world as king’s of Bracketology.  Today, as March awaits, UVA is back, leading the latest Field of 68.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

Duke’s seed status will be heavily debated in the Selection Committee room if questions about Zion Williamson’s availability remain unanswered over the next two weeks.  When Selection Sunday arrives, the Committee will have to evaluate the Blue Devils based upon the team anticipated to take the floor in the NCAA tournament.  Given that Williamson’s injury status is day-to-day, we’re working under the assumption that he will, in fact, return at some point.  Time will tell.

The race for No. 1 seeds is far from over.  Kentucky and Tennessee play again this weekend.  Michigan State and Michigan meet again.  Duke has another matchup with North Carolina.

And just for fun, March begins tomorrow.

Seed List: Breaking down the top line

January 26, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Who’s the best team in college basketball?  It’s a tough question, with four or five terrific options.  Who’s the team with the best resume among those five?  Figuring that out was the goal of a deliberate break-down early this morning.

How did it turn out?  The biggest debate was actually between teams four and five, in other words, the last No. 1 seed and the top No. 2 seed.  In this case, those teams were Virginia and Michigan.

Seed List

Ultimately, Michigan State moved to the first position.  The Spartans have a group-best six road wins, lead the nation’s No. 2 NET-rated Conference, have five wins against the currently projected at-large field and rank No. 1 against the Strength of Record.  MSU also has 11 wins against NET Groups 1/2 – including nine  against Group 1.  Note: the last NET rankings available at the time of publication was through Wednesday’s games (1/23). Read more…

Bracketology: Michigan State gets its due

January 24, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Michigan State has completed a near two-month stretch of perfection, last losing at Louisville on November 27.  The Spartans’ run includes an impressive 8-0 start in the Big Ten and a 5-0 road record since that loss to the Cardinals.  Add in an impressive 7-2 mark against Group 1 (NET ratings) and MSU has a solid top-seed profile.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

In the interest of full disclosure, we have seven teams with viable one-seed resumes, and Kentucky is quickly building its case, too.  The race is on.

The middle and lower-end of the bracket remains littered with mix of average to questionable profiles.  That’s pretty typical for this time of year.  With Buffalo’s recent loss, Bowling Green earns the Mid-American’s automatic bid this morning; bumping the Bulls into the at-large pool.  That takes away one at-large spot from someone else.

Seed List: Duke jumps to No. 1

November 10, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015I have no idea who would win if Duke and Kansas played today.  But I do know that Duke beat Kentucky by 34 points at the Champions Classic and looked the part of a No. 1 overall seed.  So as of this morning – five days into the season – that’s where the Blue Devils now reside on the Seed List.

Seed List 

Elsewhere, Buffalo moves up after an overtime win at West Virginia. More importantly, the Bulls banked a power-worthy non-conference victory that has the chance to garner some major interest down the road. Read more…

Bracketology: You’re up, Auburn!

February 16, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Auburn, it’s your turn.  Welcome to the No. 1 seed line.

With Purdue’s loss at Wisconsin, the Boilermakers slip a notch, opening a door for the Tigers, who enter as the fourth overall seed and No. 1 seed in the West Region.  Kansas is now next in line.

Bracketology    |     Seed List

Virginia continues to lead the Field of 68, followed by Xavier, Villanova, and those aforementioned Tigers.  Just for fun, Xavier and Villanova meet on Saturday at the Cintas Center in Cincinnati.  Villanova won the first meeting in Philadelphia.

The bubble isn’t overly deep, but it is tightly contested.  There’s little separation among about 15 or so teams.  The result: there’s a lot left to decide between now and Selection Sunday.

Thanksgiving Seed List: Duke now No. 1

November 23, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015Perhaps the Blue Devils should have been No. 1 on the Seed List after beating Michigan State.  Now, there’s no question.  North Carolina State beat Arizona on Friday in what turned out to be a wild opening day at the Battle 4 Atlantis.  That opened up the top slot for Duke.  The only question now: Will the Blue Devils give it back?

Seed List

Back to the Bahamas: Tennessee’s overtime victory over Purdue, along with Northern Iowa’s tipping of SMU, leaves the Atlantis bracket a bit befuddled.  As it relates to today’s update, those neutral-court wins for NC State and UT provided significant vaults.  Winning against quality teams away from home has that effect – especially this early when resumes lack depth. Read more…

Quick Takes: Rocket start for Toledo

November 19, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015How about the start for Toledo?  The Rockets opened their season by beating Saint Joseph’s (Atlantic 10), and followed it up Saturday with a victory over Horizon League favorite Oakland.  Neither of those wins will shake the rafters, per se, but they are solid nonetheless.  The Mid-American Conference (MAC) race appears wide open, and thus far, Toledo has the notched the league’s best two wins.  Up next for the Rockets? A trip to Syracuse.  Opportunity knocks (again).

Other Quick Takes from Saturday: Read more…