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Posts Tagged ‘Seed List’

Bracketology: Baylor leads countdown to Selection Sunday

February 3, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015With the Super Bowl behind us, we look ahead toward Selection Sunday.

Bracketology

As the final month of the regular season begins, Baylor continues to lead our projected Field of 68.  The Bears cruised through December and January without a scratch and haven’t lost since November 8.  While it’s too early to begin throwing the word “lock” around, Baylor is in prime position to be one of this year’s No. 1 seeds when the Selection Committee reveals its bracket.

It’s looking more and more like Kansas will be in the mix again, too – along with both Gonzaga and San Diego State.  The Bulldogs and Aztecs will be favored in most if not all of their remaining games, with SDSU showcasing a perfect 22-0 record. Read more…

Bracketology: Welcome to top line, San Diego State

January 20, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Welcome to the top line, San Diego State.  The Aztecs join Baylor, Gonzaga, and Kansas as No. 1 seeds in our latest bracket update.  SDSU remains the only unbeaten team in college hoops, buoyed by wins over tournament teams Iowa, Creighton and BYU.

Bracketology

The West-leaning geographical slate of top seeds means someone has to go East.  As SDSU is the fourth overall seed, that adventure belongs to them.  Several additional power conference teams are pushing for the top line, too – including Florida State, Michigan State and surging Seton Hall.  And let’s not forget about Louisville, a preseason top seed.  The Cardinals put together an impressive road win at Duke on Saturday.

More thoughts coming this week on the Big Ten.  There are some subtle aspects to profiles and non-conference performance that could be relevant moving forward.

Bracketology: Butler reaches top line

January 14, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015If you’re joining us following the end of college football, welcome back!  If you’re simply checking in, here’s the latest …

It’s been a monumental two-month journey for Butler.  Picked to finish near the bottom of the Big East standings, the Bulldogs have instead vaulted to an impressive 15-1 record, including nine wins against Quadrants 1 and 2 of the NCAA’s NET ratings.  If you’re into other analytical metrics, KenPom ranks Butler fourth, BPI fifth and SOR (Strength of Record) second as of this posting.

Bracketology

Of course, challenges never end.  Butler next hosts Seton Hall at Hinkle Fieldhouse before embarking on a road swing through DePaul and Villanova.

As for the other No. 1 seeds, the Baylor Bandwagon is filling up quickly.  The Bears swept a pair of road games at Texas Tech and Kansas last week, vaulting them to the No. 1 overall seed in today’s bracket.  Gonzaga remains top Dawg in the West with Duke holding as the Beast of the East.

 

Bracketology: Kansas vaults to No. 1 overall seed

January 10, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Anchored by its pole position on the NCAA’s NET ratings and its No. 1 overall schedule – the Kansas Jayhawks have passed Gonzaga on the Seed List to lead the latest Field of 68.  It was a strong week for KU, backed by a home victory over West Virginia.

Bracketology

The middle of the bracket remains a mixed bag of profiles without much distinction among seed lines; that is common in early January.  One other quick note: the strength of the Big Ten brings with it added bids today.  The question becomes, how many of those teams ultimately survive the next two months?

Looking ahead, we could end up with another large group of bubble teams – even moving into late February.  There are a lot of similar profiles on the current at-large board and unless some of those teams separate, conference tournaments could end up as  elimination games.

Seed List: League play will shape Field

January 1, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Welcome to 2020!  The Road to Selection Sunday is about to ramp up as conference play sets in across the country.

And ultimately, how teams fare in league play will shape the final Field of 68.

Seed List

What teams have done thus far is position themselves and created a pre-conference profile that will help or hinder how the Committee views their team sheet during Championship Week.  Teams with strong non-conference profiles have an opportunity for higher seeding(s) and/or selection.  Those who stacked their plate with cupcakes and/or missed opportunities have additional pressure to perform well during their conference campaigns. Read more…

Bracket Bits: Big East teams building strong NETs

December 27, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Members of the Big East are building some strong NETs.

How strong have Big East teams been to this point?  Take a look at some of these numbers – via Warren Nolan

Nine of the Big East’s ten teams currently rank in the Top 55 of the NCAA’s NET Rankings (through Thursday, December 26) – led by the surprising Butler Bulldogs at No. 3.  Four of BU’s ten wins are currently in Quadrant 1 – as is their only loss (Baylor by a single point).

Here’s where the other teams rank … Villanova (21), Creighton (24), Georgetown (29), Seton Hall (34), DePaul (36), St. John’s (47), Marquette (50), Xavier (52).  Oddly, its Providence, a sneaky preseason pick to win the league, which has struggled – currently ranked 122. Read more…

Bracketology: Gonzaga latest to lead Field

December 26, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015Following recent road wins at Washington and Arizona, the Gonzaga Bulldogs move to the top of the Seed List and hold the No. 1 overall seed in our post-Christmas bracket.  With an earlier win over Oregon also on board, the Zags’ biggest challenges to a No. 1 seed in the West are likely an improved West Coast Conference schedule (most notably BYU and Saint Mary’s) and a very real threat from Oregon, who figures to have more Quad 1/2 wins available in the Pac-12.

Bracketology

The rest of the top line: Ohio State, Kansas, Duke.  Baylor and Oregon are next in line, followed by Louisville and Butler.  The Bulldogs from Indianapolis are tied with Duke for the most wins against Quad 1 teams (4).  Keep this in mind, too: Butler is a one-point road loss at Baylor from potentially being a No. 1 seed this morning.  We’ll see where the Dawgs go from here. The Big East is shaping up to be a monstrous gauntlet. Read more…