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Posts Tagged ‘Texas Tech Red Raiders’

Bracket Bits: NC State, Texas Tech, and Tuesday’s Bubble Games

March 3, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Both NC State and Texas Tech missed opportunities to score huge road wins on Monday – which basically means the Wolfpack and Texas Tech are treading water, hoping the ripples stay small.  Quick takes on both …

NC State – The Wolfpack are 18-12 with notable wins over Duke, Wisconsin and Virginia. Their issue is eight losses to non-tournament teams, including being swept by Georgia Tech and UNC, along with a loss at Boston College.  NCSU closes with a must win against Wake Forest ahead of the ACC tournament.
Texas Tech – The Red Raiders are also 18-12 with notable wins over Louisville and West Virginia (along with Texas and Oklahoma).  Their biggest advantages are a strong NET Rating and only three losses to non-tournament teams (and none in Quad 3).  It’s worth noting, however, that TTU has eight wins against Quad 4 – with seven of those being home games against teams rated 235 or worse (as of the posting).  If the Committee digs deep, TTU is now 10-12 against Quads 1-3, with an effective record of 11-12.  Tech closes at home against Kansas. Read more…

Bracket Bits: Trouble brewing for Texas Tech?

March 1, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015As March arrives, so does a question about the at-large status of Texas Tech.

The Red Raiders lost at home to Texas on Saturday, leaving them with some potentially risky profile numbers.  These include a 3-8 record against Quadrant 1, a 7-11 mark against Quads 1/2, and a sub-.500 total against Quads 1-3 (10-11). TTU’s remaining eight wins are against Quad 4, with seven of those coming at home against teams ranked 235 or worse in the NET.

And … the next week is no picnic.  Texas Tech travels to Baylor before ending the season at home against Kansas.  What if the Red Raiders lose both and head to the Big 12 tournament at 18-13?  Solid NET number(s) or not, that’s tricky business.

The good news: TTU’s final two games are also a blessing in disguise.  Winning could undo much, if not all, of the angst heading to Kansas City. Read more…

Quick Takes: Oklahoma’s Bubble win; Duke’s loss to Wake

February 26, 2020 Leave a comment

Dave2015Let’s start on a positive note.  Oklahoma picked up a needed Quadrant 1 victory against Texas Tech in Norman.  It boosted the Sooners to 4-9 vs. Quad 1 teams (not great, but four of its losses are to Kansas and Baylor); it was also, based on the NCAA’s NET Ratings, their first Quad 1A (Top Tier) victory of the season.  At least for today, OU can smile.  Next up, a trip to Morgantown, followed by dates with Texas (home) and TCU (road).  We’ll see if the Sooners can keep improving an overall mark of 17-11. (See note on Texas Tech below)

Meanwhile, Duke lost at Wake Forest.  Although technically a Quad 2 road loss (so not horrible), it does raise questions as to how the Selection Committee will view Duke’s seeding profile unless the Blue Devils beat Louisville and/or Florida State in the ACC tourney.  While analytics love the Blue Devils (Top 10 in all metrics listed on Team Sheets heading into Tuesday), the ACC simply hasn’t offered its usual chances for high-end wins.  As of this morning, Duke has three (3) wins over current tournament teams and is 4-3 vs. Quadrant 1.  By comparison, the top Big East schools vying for spots on the Top 3 lines have much better totals: Creighton (9-6), Villanova (8-6), Seton Hall (10-5). Read more…

Bracket Bits: Ranking the Final Four

April 5, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015We’ve reached Minneapolis.  The Final Four includes a Blue Blood in Michigan State, a pair of newbies in Texas Tech and Auburn, and a team trying to rewrite its own NCAA history book in Virginia.

With top seeds Duke, Gonzaga, and North Carolina dispatched, UVA arrives in the Twin Cities as the only No. 1 seed still standing.  Does that make the Cavaliers the favorite to cut down the nets on Monday night?  Not necessarily.

Although this year’s Final Four may lack some traditional name power, it shouldn’t lack for drama – and certainly not for storylines.  How would you rank the Final Four?  Here’s my best attempt as tip-off nears on Saturday evening. Read more…

Bracket Bits: Five Top 25 NET-rated teams with resume questions

January 5, 2019 Leave a comment

Dave2015As an early-January exercise, it’s worth taking a look inside the resumes of a few highly-regarded teams based on current NET rankings, the updated tool the NCAA Selection Committee has donned for 2019.  I’ve picked five teams from the Top 25 this morning with varying resume questions.  Keep in mind, this isn’t about how “good” the teams might be, but rather about how their Team Sheet stacks up against their NET rating.  Here’s where we ended up …

NC STATE (13-1)
Ratings: NET (No. 11); KenPom (No. 20); BPI (No. 10); SOR (No. 15)
Inside the resume: The first thing that stands out on the Wolfpack’s Team Sheet is nine (9) home wins against Group 4 – meaning their effective record is a meager 4-1.  It’s also the reason why State’s NC SOS is around 340, which if the Pack struggle in ACC play, could give the Committee reason to pause.  The good news is a home win over Auburn and a neutral-court win over Vanderbilt.  Their other wins are Penn State and Miami, neither of which looks like an NCAA team.
Upcoming games: @North Carolina, Pittsburgh, @Wake Forest, @Notre Dame Read more…