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Posts Tagged ‘Virginia Cavaliers’

Quick Takes: Arizona lost in Atlantis

November 24, 2017 Leave a comment

Dave2015Whether its the palm trees, soft sand, or clear waters, the Arizona Wildcats look a little lost in Atlantis.  A preseason No. 1 seed, UA has dropped back-to-backers against NC State and SMU.  Neither is bad, per se, as both are potential tournament teams, but still unexpected.  Yes, Rawle Alkins remains out with an injury, but Arizona is far from depleted with Allonzo Trier and Deandre Ayton on the court.  If there’s any good news, head coach Sean Miller said yesterday the early losses might end up being helpful because everyone was telling them how good they are.  We’ll see if that’s true.  Today, Arizona gets Purdue.  One of those two squads will leave Atlantis 0-3. Think about that for a moment.

Other Thanksgiving Quick Takes: Read more…

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2016 Tourney: Ranking a power-heavy Elite 8

March 26, 2016 Leave a comment

Dave2015Given what we’ve seen this season, we shouldn’t be overly surprised to find a six and ten seed in the Elite 8.  We also shouldn’t be surprised to find six power-heavy teams.  At various points during the 2016 campaign, Kansas, North Carolina, Virginia, Oklahoma, and Villanova all grabbed spots along the No. 1 seed line.  Oregon was among the Top 8 for the better part of February and ended at No. 5 on our list.  They were the final No. 1 seed on the NCAA Board, which fits the theme.

If you believe in destiny (or maybe redemption), then you embrace Notre Dame and Syracuse.  The Irish needed a miraculous tip-in to beat Stephen F. Austin and a pair of late steals/turnovers to upend Wisconsin.  Syracuse was undoubtedly helped by an incredible performance from Middle Tennessee that ousted Michigan State in the opening round.  The Orange deserve all the credit for reaching the Regional Final; they beat the teams they faced.  We can say that and still acknowledge that reaching the Elite 8 required beating a seven seed, 15 seed, and 11 seed.  Good fortune is important in March.

So … heading into the Regional Finals, how would you rank the remaining eight teams?  Based on what I’ve seen the past two weeks, here’s my list: Read more…

Bracketology: Villanova grabs final No. 1 seed

March 2, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1It’s been a topic of discussion for several weeks.  What would happen if Gonzaga lost?  Would they fall?  Who would take their place as a No. 1 seed?  Following the ‘Zags home loss to BYU – which also vaulted the Cougars into a First Four game in today’s bracket  – we have an answer: Villanova, at least for now.

Current Bracket Projection

Current Seed List

The Wildcats – there are two of them (Kentucky) on the top line – slide into the West Region; following UK, Virginia, and Duke.  We say for now, because Wisconsin and Arizona also continue to push for that final spot.  And it’s conceivable we could see a shift among spots 2-6 on the Seed List between now and Selection Sunday.  We know that either Virginia or Duke will lose at least one more game – both play in the ACC tournament.  If Wisconsin, Villanova, and Arizona all win out it’ll be interesting to see how the Committee dissects that group of profiles.

With just under two weeks until Selection Sunday, we have several unclaimed spots in the bracket.  Perhaps more than ever, conference tournament games could prove decisive .  It’ll be even more interesting should we have an upset winner or two.  The Atlantic 10 race is a good example – as of this posting, there are three teams tied atop the standings.  There are another three teams – VCU, Richmond, and Massachusetts – all within a game or two of the top.  It’s perfectly conceivable that anyone of those teams could grab the automatic bid.

It’s March.  The Madness is almost here.

Bracketology: Kentucky reigns as March arrives

February 27, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1As the calendar turns to March, Kentucky has entrenched itself as the No. 1 overall seed.  Unless the Wildcats lose multiple times between now and Selection Sunday – which is highly unlikely – they will stand atop the bracket when the official Field of 68 is unveiled on March 15.   UK’s proverbial “march” will begin in Louisville and head through Cleveland in the Midwest Region.

Current Bracket Projection

Current Seed List

As for the remaining No. 1 seeds, Virginia has a firm grasp on the East.  After that, there’s still a bit of a race.  If Gonzaga loses, Villanova is next in line to ascend to the top line.  We also can’t exclude Wisconsin, Arizona, or even Kansas – although the Jayhawks will need help from the others in front of them.  While winning both Big 12 regular season and tournament titles (if it happens) would be mighty impressive, the Jayhawks’ loss total might be too great to push KU ahead of the other three if those teams continue to win.

The bubble/cutline remains a hodge-podge of rotating resumes.  The week ahead – leading into conference tournaments – figures to be huge.  And it might be Friday or Saturday of Championship Week before the final Field comes into focus.

Bracket: Jayhawks’ resume boosts KU to top line

January 30, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1Kansas finds itself in familiar territory heading into Super Bowl weekend.  Thanks to a resume that includes 11 Top 100 RPI wins and the nation’s top-rated (overall) strength of schedule, the Jayhawks claim the final No. 1 seed in today’s bracket.  KU also leads the Big 12, arguably the deepest conference in college basketball.

Bracket Projection – January 30

Seed List – January 30

Kentucky and Virginia remain firmly entrenched as the top two seeds.  And Gonzaga keeps it’s hold on the West, but will be challenged for that spot as we march toward Selection Sunday.  Those also pushing the top line: Arizona and Wisconsin.  Notre Dame continues its climb.  But it’s worth noting that a weak non-conference SOS could ultimately impact the Irish’s final landing spot.

As for teams around the cutline, it’s a muddled mess.  Resumes resemble Swiss cheese; in other words, it’s not difficult to find the holes.  It’s also a bit odd to find teams such as Syracuse, Michigan, Connecticut, and Florida on the outside looking in.  Will one of them make a February run?  The clock is ticking.

Turnover: Three new teams join Kentucky atop the bracket

January 16, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1It’s been a volatile week atop the bracket.  As a result, three new teams join Kentucky on the top line: Virginia, Villanova, and Gonzaga.  Wisconsin and Duke now reside on the two-line, with Arizona dropping to the top 3-seed spot.  Kansas and Louisville fill out the top two seeds in each region.

Bracket Projection – January 16

Seed LIst – January 16

We continue to see some odd profiles, which creates interesting seeding debates. Texas is a good example. The Longhorns have lost back-to-back games and three of five, but all to quality opponents.  Early this season, UT looked like a Top 10 team, and there’s enough talent to suggest the Longhorns may return to form.  At the same time, the Longhorn’s currently own one victory (Iowa) or a team in today’s projected field.  Previous wins at Connecticut and over California have waned a bit.  It’s going to be a big week for Texas – in terms of bracket position – they play West Virginia, at TCU, and Kansas in their next three games. Read more…

Bracket update: Virginia pushing for another No. 1 seed

January 9, 2015 Leave a comment

dave1As we begin the march toward Selection Sunday, Virginia has again put itself in position to compete for a No.1 seed in the NCAA tournament. The Cavaliers completed an unbeaten non-conference slate and have all the resume numbers firmly intact. Only a tough Atlantic Coast Conference docket, which includes projected ACC champion Duke, is keeping UVA off the top line in today’s bracket.  Who are the No. 1 seeds?  The same four teams who opened the season atop the Field of 68 – Kentucky, Duke, Wisconsin, and Arizona.

January 9 – Bracket Projection

January 9 – Seed List

As noted in the New Year’s Day update, we have some quirky resumes on the at-large board.  Take for example, Providence. The Friars have quality wins over Notre Dame and Butler and own a solid 7-2 mark vs. the current RPI Top 100. Those same Friars also own losses to Boston College and Brown (at home).  It’s been one of those years.

Then we have a team like Wyoming – which could ultimately be bogged down by a weak non-conference schedule. The Cowboys look like an NCAA team, but will need a strong Mountain West effort to overcome a non-conference SOS ranked No. 343 (out of 351 teams). Read more…