Posts Tagged ‘Virginia Cavaliers’

Bracketology: Virginia reigns over Field of 68

March 11, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015While plenty of questions remain for a handful of teams on the bubble, this much we know: Virginia will be the overall No. 1 seed when the 2018 NCAA tournament bracket is revealed tonight.  The Cavaliers completed a remarkable season Saturday night by beating North Carolina in the ACC title game.  That appears to leave the No. 1 line as it was yesterday – Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, and Xavier.

Bracketology   |   Seed List

The underlying story today is Davidson, which plays Rhode Island in the Atlantic 10 championship.  If the Wildcats pull off an upset, one unlucky team will be bounced from the Field as Davidson would arrive as an automatic qualifier.

Other potential variables in play today (for seeding) include results in the SEC tournament (Tennessee vs. Kentucky) and the American (Cincinnati vs. Houston).  The Committee could build alternate brackets or decide each team’s body of work is basically complete.

However it works out, we’ve reached another Selection Sunday.  Here’s to an incredible journey through the Madness of March.


Bracketology: Virginia holds No. 1 overall seed

March 5, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Welcome to Championship Week!

Whether it’s a seed line position or a position in the final Field of 68, there’s a lot on the line in the next six days.  If there’s one confident bet it’s this: Virginia will be the No. 1 overall seed come Sunday night.  Villanova and Xavier also look like good wagers, although there are scenarios in which only one of them ends up being a No. 1 seed.  Kansas retains its No. 1 slot out West, with Duke very much in the mix (No. 5 on the seed list).  How Kansas, Duke, Villanova, and Xavier fare in their conference tournaments may well determine how the final one-line looks this weekend.  We can say the same for the two-line with teams like Cincinnati, Auburn, Tennessee, and North Carolina (as examples).

Bracketology   |    Seed List

As for the bubble, let’s just say its highly unsettled.  Multiple teams have an opportunity to play their way in or out come Sunday morning.  Frequent updates this week as teams punch their tickets to the 2018 NCAA tournament and push for a spot in the bracket.  Enjoy.

Bracketology: Mayhem arrives early in Louisville

March 2, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015For all of its magical moments, March can be agonizingly brutal. Just ask the Louisville Cardinals, who suffered a devastating loss to Virginia Thursday night following what can only be described as an unimaginable turn of events in the game’s final seconds.  It was March at its most maddening.

Bracketology    |    Seed List

And yet, the Cardinals season is far from over.  They still have a trip to NC State this weekend and the ACC tournament next week.  Can they recover?  That’s a question only the Cardinals can answer.

Elsewhere, it’s an equally big weekend for a handful of other bubble teams vying for those final coveted spots in the Field of 68.


Bracketology: Kansas eyeing No. 1 seed in Midwest

February 26, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Kansas wrapped up the Big 12 title on Saturday.  It’s 14th straight Big 12 title.  Truly incredible, whether you’re a Jayhawks fan or not.  With that little nugget complete, the Jayhawks can now set their sights on a potential No. 1 seed in the Midwest.  A lot can happen in the next two weeks, but a Big 12 tournament title would all but guarantee the Jayhawks an NCAA route through Wichita and Omaha (Midwest Region).

Bracketology     |      Seed List

Virginia remains No. 1 overall, followed by Villanova and Xavier.  One of those two will lose again since both play in the Big East, creating a potential spot on the No. 1 seed line for a handful of chasers – including Duke, North Carolina, Auburn, Michigan State, and Purdue.

We also figure to have quite a two-week race for the final at-large positions.  We have 18-20 teams in play for about 8 spots, and that’s assuming we do not encounter any unexpected upsets in conference tournaments.

Bracketology: Virginia leads final march to Selection Sunday

February 12, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015The Selection Committee has spoken, having revealed its initial Top 16 teams (seed list) prior to games tipping on Sunday.  There were no overwhelming surprises, although one could debate the plusses and minuses of the Committee slotting Oklahoma as its final No. 4 seed, in particular.  Their reasoning throughout the Top 16, whether you agree or disagree, was pretty clear: the Committee still values traditional measures such quality wins, strength of schedule, road performance, and an RPI-based demarkation for sorting teams (now using Groups or Quadrants rather than merely Top 50 or Top 100).  That doesn’t mean individual or collective members of the Committee will not use or value other metrics (BPI, SOR, Ken Pom, etc) in the process, but the ole standbys appear to be actively in place.

Bracketology     |     Seed List

The Committee selected Virginia as its overall No. 1 seed, followed by Villanova, Xavier, and Purdue.  Purdue’s overall profile – and its small margins in defeat – kept the Boilermakers on the top line.  That said, we have about a month left, and things can change.  We’ve seen teams make late charges; we’ve seen teams go into late-February swoons.  The bubble is once again deep and includes a hodgepodge of resumes that look eerily similar.  In other words, the race is on.


Bracketology: Cavaliers stand tall

February 9, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015Yes, Virginia, you are the No. 1 overall seed in today’s bracket. Take a bow, you’ve earned it. The Cavaliers not only keep winning, they’ve just about wrapped up a regular-season ACC title. Think about this … in a deep, talented league, UVA owns a three-game lead on Clemson and a four-game lead on Duke and Miami.  Impressive no matter how you slice it.

Bracketology    |     Seed List

Despite a hiccup each, Villanova and Purdue retain their No. 1 seed positions.  One loss (nor one win) does a resume make.  The Boilermakers can either solidify their spot with a win at Michigan State on Saturday or crack the door further with a loss.

The lower end of the bracket is quirky today with the dearth of ACC teams (10) in the field.  It caused both a procedural bump and a deep dive into the bracketing playbook.

Quick Takes: Virginia vaults to No. 1 overall seed

February 8, 2018 Leave a comment

Dave2015After a wild Wednesday night in college hoops, Virginia slides up a spot and now resides as the overall No. 1 seed on our Seed List.  Beyond beating Florida State in Tallahassee, Villanova lost at home to St. John’s, giving the Cavaliers a clear path to the top spot in Friday’s bracket.

What else happened?  That would be Ohio State going into Mackey Arena and beating Purdue.  It would also be Texas AM continuing to right its ship by going into Auburn and leaving with a victory over the Tigers.  Then there was desperate Marquette putting enough stops together to upset Seton Hall in New Jersey.

I’m not sure any of the events above change the status of the No. 1 seed line on Friday (other than UVA moving to No. 1 overall).  But the results do crack the door for some potential mayhem down the road.  Exhibit A: Purdue’s consolation for losing to Ohio State?  A trip to East Lansing against Michigan State on Saturday. Read more…