Welcome to Bracketville

November 9, 2008 Comments off

Here at Bracketville, you’ll find insights and updates, seeding-curve rankings, forward-thinking predictions, and fan-interaction.  Hopefully, the 2021-22 college hoops season will be more “normal” after a challenging pandemic run a year ago.  Here’s to a healthy, happy, and fun hoops season!

2022 Updates:

Categories: Current Updates

QT: Big week for Oregon; American bids in trouble

January 16, 2022 Leave a comment

QuickTakesIt’s hard to know if the Oregon Ducks are actually back … as in back to being a Top 25-ish team.  But the Ducks certainly improved their current NCAA forecast after exiting Los Angeles with back-to-back road wins over UCLA and USC.  Overall, OU has won three straight away from home, squeaking past Oregon State before arriving in SoCal.  The Ducks do not leave Eugene again until February.  If they can avoid a letdown, February becomes a huge month.

Trouble is brewing for the American Athletic Conference.  Memphis can’t get out of its own way – falling Saturday at East Carolina after losing Wednesday at UCF.  Making matters worse, the Golden Knights lost by 24 on Saturday at South Florida.  If Houston wins the league going away, it could be a challenge to find a second or third representative from the AAC without an upset in the league tourney. Read more…

Bracketology: Auburn, Wisconsin move up

January 15, 2022 Leave a comment

Dave2015Fresh of a road win at Alabama – coupled with Baylor’s home loss to Texas Tech – the Auburn Tigers begin the weekend as the No. 1 overall seed in our latest bracket projection.  The Tigers’ resume features a 9-1 mark against Quadrants 1-2 of the NET ratings, combined with top billing in the Strength of Record (SOR) metric.  They are also 4-0 on the road.  Auburn’s lone loss came in overtime to Connecticut without Allen Flannigan, who averaged 14.3 points per game a year ago.   He’s working his way back into the rotation.

Seed List

By mileage, Chicago (Midwest) would be Auburn’s closest regional destination.  But the difference between a trip to the Windy City and Philadelphia (East) is minimal, giving the Committee (and Auburn) some flexibility in terms of regional routing.  Since no other eastern-based teams were in the No. 1 seed discussion this morning, Auburn goes East – allowing Arizona to grab the final No. 1 spot in Chicago. Read more…

QT: Big 12 title race now three teams wide

January 12, 2022 Leave a comment

QuickTakesIf you’re a spotter on the oval, the Big 12 title race went three teams wide following Texas Tech’s win at Baylor on Tuesday.  Fresh off a home victory over Kansas, the Red Raiders pulled alongside the Bears and Jayhawks heading toward the next turn.  While TTU has a quirky resume (all but one of its games are either Quad 1 or Quad 4), beating KU and Baylor in a span of four days is impressive.  Following three losses in four games, Iowa State is slightly behind, but let’s not dismiss the Cyclones, either.  We have a long way to go.

Switching to NASCAR central, Auburn beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa. The Tigers are likely headed for a No. 1 seed in the next bracket; their lone loss is in overtime to Connecticut in November.

Additional Quick Takes …

  • Kansas needed every second to hold off Iowa State in Lawrence.
  • The other unbeaten, USC, lost at Stanford.  The Trojans’ profile is hard to manage.  Why?  USC’s best wins are currently San Diego State and Washington State.
  • Illinois avoided a tough loss at Nebraska, scoring 50 points in the second half.
  • Texas AM moved to 13-2 overall after beating Ole Miss.  Following a potentially tricky trip to Missouri, the Aggies get Kentucky at home, followed by road trips to Arkansas and LSU.
  • It feels like every team in the ACC – other than Duke – is on the bubble.  Florida State edged Miami in Tallahassee after taking care of Louisville last week.  Next up:  FSU hosts Duke and plays three of four on the road.

QT: Miami headlines Saturday’s winners

January 9, 2022 Leave a comment

QuickTakesNot so fast, my friend.  Saturday morning, the Bracketology introduction referenced the following: Duke could – and should – run through the Atlantic Coast Conference without many hiccups.  Well, that lasted for about 12 hours, as the Miami Hurricanes exited Durham with a rousing, last-second victory over the Blue Devils.  For the record, Miami has won nine straight and currently resides atop the ACC at 5-0.

Will it last?  We shall see.  Of note … Miami is not scheduled to play Duke at home, so the two would not meet again until the ACC tournament.  Also of note … this year’s version of the ACC is well below traditional standards.  That could mean a long and strong run for the Canes.  It could also mean the opportunity for bumps and bruises. Read more…

Bracketology: Battles for West, Midwest Regions

January 8, 2022 Leave a comment

Dave2015Looking forward, expect some battles for the West and Midwest Regions.  Just take a look at where we stand today.  Arizona is inches ahead of Gonzaga on the Seed List for top billing out West.  UCLA would love that position, too, and let’s not brush aside USC.  Kansas would love top billing in the Midwest.  So would Purdue or Michigan State, or even a surprising group from Iowa State.  We could even see some jockeying for the South Region if Baylor stumbles a couple of times.  The only apparent certainty today is that Duke figures to be No. 1 in the East.  Not only are the Blue Devils pretty good, they could – and should – run through the Atlantic Coast Conference without many hiccups.

Seed List

Prepare yourself for another weak bubble. We already have quite a few mundane profiles.

It’s also worth noting that several power conference teams need to boost their resumes soon.  It’s been a scattered month with COVID pauses, postponements and cancellations.  And while that may continue in the short term, ultimately the Committee will judge teams based on their submitted team sheets.